The Milwaukee Bucks (29-16) battle the Cleveland Cavaliers (28-19) Saturday. Tip from Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse is set for 7:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Bucks vs. Cavaliers odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.
The Cavaliers lost 120-114 to the Golden State Warriors Friday, losing outright as 10.5-point home favorites. Cleveland is on a 2-game losing skid but has covered the spread in 3 of its last 5 and is 23-21-3 against the spread (ATS) this season. The Cavs are No. 1 in opponents’ points per game (107.4).
The Bucks beat the Toronto Raptors 130-122 Tuesday, covering as 1.5-point home favorites. Milwaukee has covered 2 straight contests and 4 of its last 6. The Bucks are 11-11 straight up on the road this season, holding teams in check with the league’s 4th best opponents’ field goal percentage (45.4%).
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Bucks at Cavaliers odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:23 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Bucks +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Cavaliers -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Bucks +1.5 (-108) | Cavaliers -1.5 (-112)
- Over/Under (O/U): 220.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Bucks at Cavaliers key injuries
Bucks
- F Giannis Antetokounmpo (knee) questionable
- F Khris Middleton (knee) out
Cavaliers
- Not yet submitted
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Bucks at Cavaliers picks and predictions
Prediction
Cavaliers 113, Bucks 109
Moneyline
PASS.
I like the Cavaliers (-125) here, and their strength at home should be reassuring enough to play the spread and not the juiced moneyline odds.
Against the spread
BET CAVALIERS -1.5 (-112).
The Cavaliers have the Eastern Conference’s best home record at 19-5. They also have the length in F Evan Mobley and C Jarrett Allen to tame how effective Antetokounmpo is at attacking the glass.
The Warriors beat Cleveland on Friday but only because they shot 53% from deep. The Bucks are unlikely to post those types of numbers. The Cavs are 15-8-1 ATS this season at home while Milwaukee is 8-11-3 ATS on the road. Considering the Cavs’ style of play and the season-long trends, back the CAVALIERS -1.5 (-112).
Over/Under
LEAN OVER 220.5 (-115).
The Cavaliers are 23-24 O/U this season with the Bucks 22-23 O/U. Cleveland just allowed 120 points to the Warriors without G Stephen Curry and has gone Over in 4 of its last 6 games, so despite a strong defense, betting the Over recently has been profitable.
The Bucks have gone Over in their last 2 as well, scoring at least 130 points in both games. The Bucks rank 15th in pace and should try to speed up this tempo.
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