Milwaukee Bucks at Boston Celtics odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Milwaukee Bucks at Boston Celtics odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Milwaukee Bucks (22-10) and Boston Celtics (23-10) meet Sunday at TD Garden. Tip-off is scheduled for 5 p.m. ET (ABC). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Bucks vs. Celtics odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Bucks failed to cover as 2.5-point underdogs in a 118-100 loss at the Brooklyn Nets Friday. F Giannis Antetokounmpo finished with 26 points and 13 rebounds, both game-highs, despite being held scoreless in the 4th quarter.

Milwaukee is 3-13-1 against the spread (ATS) vs. the Celtics in their last 17  meetings.

Boston covered as a 9.5-point home favorite 121-109 vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves Friday. G Jaylen Brown scored 23 of his game-high 36 points in the 4th quarter as the Celtics ended their season-worst 3-game skid.

Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games vs. teams with a winning percentage above .600.

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Bucks at Celtics odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:09 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Bucks +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Celtics -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Bucks +4.5 (-105) | Celtics -4.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 224.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Bucks at Celtics key injuries

Bucks

  • Khris Middleton (knee) doubtful

Celtics

  • Marcus Smart (hip) probable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Bucks at Celtics picks and predictions

Prediction

Celtics 115, Bucks 105

Moneyline

PASS.

Boston should win, but I wouldn’t recommend risking 2 times your potential profit on the ML when they’re in a good spot to cover Sunday. Bet the spread or the total instead.

Against the spread

BET CELTICS -4.5 (-115).

The Celtics own the Bucks. Boston is 6-2 ATS vs. Milwaukee in the last 8  meetings at TD Garden and held the Bucks to just 97.7 points per game in the 2022 Eastern Conference Semifinals. Milwaukee should continue to struggle to score vs. Boston’s defense. Lay the points.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 224.5 (-108).

The Celtics step up their defense when facing playoff-caliber teams. The Under is 4-0 in Boston’s last 4 games vs. teams with a winning percentage above .600.

These 2 teams also have a history of playing low-scoring games against each other as the Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Boston. Expect a slower pace Sunday and a playoff-like atmosphere.

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