The Milwaukee Brewers (3-4) and St. Louis Cardinals (5-2) continue their three-game series Saturday at 2:15 p.m. ET at Busch Stadium. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Brewers vs. Cardinals odds with MLB picks and predictions.
RHP Adrian Houser is the projected starting pitcher for the Brewers. A year ago, Houser went 1-6 with a 5.30 ERA, 1.50 WHIP, 7.1 K/9 and 3.4 BB/9 in 56 IP over 12 appearances. He went five frames, allowing two runs in his 2021 debut. Houser owns a 210-point split in his vs.-left/vs.-right-effectiveness (.853 OPS allowed vs. left-handed bats; .643 OPS allowed vs. right-handed bats).
RHP Carlos Martinez is the Cardinals’ choice for Saturday. Martinez started just five games in 2020; he went 0-3 with a 9.90 ERA, 2.10 WHIP, 7.7 K/9, and 4.5 BB/9 in 20 IP. He missed games due to a COVID diagnosis and an oblique injury. Martinez started the Cards’ April 4 game at Cincinnati; he allowed four runs in 5 IP. He was cruising until the second time through the order when things derailed.
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Brewers at Cardinals odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:55 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Brewers -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Cardinals -115 (bet $100 to win $115)
- Against the spread/ATS: Brewers -1.5 (+155) | Cardinals +1.5 (-190)
- Over/Under: 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Prediction
Brewers 5, Cardinals 4
Money line (ML)
This series started Thursday and included a Friday off day. Still, considering top-end work Thursday and on the previous couple days, the Milwaukee bullpen is in better shape heading into Saturday.
Houser’s platoon edge plays into this wager as well. Against righty starters, the Cardinals lineup leans more to the right than most.
Milwaukee outscored St. Louis, 41-29, in a 10-game split a year ago. Getting Houser plus a sharper edge of the relief exchange makes for Brewers value on anything less than -120.
BACK THE BREWERS -105.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
PASS on the juicier run line, and protect your bankroll against prices that are difficult to outrun.
Over/Under (O/U)
Looking at the batting average on balls in play is instructive to analyzing the offenses on both sides here. Both attacks have been BABIP-beaten down early, Milwaukee with a .233 BABIP and St. Louis with a .250 figure. The Brewers numbers are also dodgy when leading off an inning, a stat that is as important as any late-game, man-on numbers with how clutch and impactful they are.
Weather conditions for Busch Stadium are forecast as cool, but humid, and with a 17-mile-an-hour wind blowing out to center. Both starters get a lot of ground balls, but both pens are prone to the aerial game.
TAKE THE OVER 8 (-110).
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