First pitch of Game 2 in the Milwaukee Brewers (10-11) at Minnesota Twins (16-8) three-game series is set for Wednesday at 8:10 p.m. ET in Target Field. Minnesota took the opener 4-3 in 12 innings. We analyze the Brewers-Twins betting odds and lines, with MLB picks and best bets.
Brewers at Twins: Projected starting pitchers
LHP Brett Anderson vs. LHP Rich Hill
Anderson this season: 0-2 with a 4.91 ERA (9 K, 6 ER in 11 IP) over 3 starts.
- Last start: Anderson pitched 4 1/3 innings with 5 K’s, 2 BBs and recorded an L in 4-2 loss at the Chicago Cubs last Thursday.
- He is 3-3 with a 3.91 ERA (41 K, 23 ER in 53 IP) over 8 starts and 2 appearances vs the Twins.
Hill won his only start of the season against the St. Louis Cardinals on July 29. He didn’t allow a run, but only struck out two batters in 5 innings.
- Hill has a 3-1 career record with a 3.35 ERA, 1.118 WHIP and 9.9 SO/9 vs. the Brewers.
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Brewers at Twins: Key injuries
Get the latest injury news here.
Brewers
- RP Justin Grimm (finger) probable
Twins
- 2B Luis Arraez (knee) questionable
- 3B Josh Donaldson (calf) out
Also see: BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
Brewers at Twins: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 5:45 p.m. ET.
Prediction
Brewers 5, Twins 3
Moneyline (ML)
The Twins (-162) SP Kenta Maeda carried a no-hitter into the ninth inning, striking out 12 hitters along the way, in Minnesota’s extra-innings win on Tuesday.
However, the Brewers (+145) got to him and RP Taylor Rogers, scoring 3 runs in the top of the ninth. The loss ended Milwaukee’s four-game winning streak.
Milwaukee’s lineup has been pretty bad this season — ranked 29th in runs per game, 28th in batting average and OPS — but scores a run higher and hits 45 points higher against lefties. The Brewers figure to have an easier time hitting against the lefty Hill.
Anderson has given up only 2 earned runs in all three of his 2020 starts. So if Anderson can have a similar performance and turn it over to Milwaukee’s bullpen (ranked fourth in ERA and WHIP), the BREWERS (+145) WILL WIN THIS GAME.
New to sports betting? A $50 bet on the Brewers (+145) earns a $72.50 profit if Milwaukee defeats Minnesota.
Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
PASS. As much as I’d like some insurance on the moneyline wager, Brewers +1.5 (-143) is too expensive for me. Stick with Milwaukee on the upset.
Over/Under (O/U)
The UNDER 9.5 (-115) looks great to me. Teams have combined for eight or fewer runs in the five of the last six games Anderson has started. Minnesota’s lineup is less explosive than in 2019: 19th in batting average and 20th in OPS. The market hasn’t adjusted to his yet because the Twins O/U record is 8-16 this year.
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