The Milwaukee Brewers (21-21) tangle with the Kansas City Royals (19-22) Wednesday to wrap up their two-game miniseries at Kauffman Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Brewers vs. Royals odds with MLB picks and predictions.
The Brewers’ woes against left-handed pitching continued Tuesday, as they were shut out 2-0 by the Royals with starter LHP Kris Bubic pitching 6 frames of 1-hit ball with 4 strikeouts and 2 walks.
Season series: Royals lead 1-0.
RHP Corbin Burnes is on the hill for the Brewers. He is 2-3 with a 1.57 ERA (34 1/3 IP, 6 ER), 0.64 WHIP, 0.3 BB/9 and 15.2 K/9 across 6 starts.
- Last outing: Loss in 5 IP with 1 ER, 5 H, 1 BB and 9 K Thursday against the St. Louis Cardinals.
- Career vs. Royals: 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA (6 IP, 0 ER), 0 BB and 9 K in one start.
- vs. Royals on the current roster: 16 at-bats with a .188/.235/.188 slash line.
RHP Brad Keller is the projected starter for the Royals. He is 3-4 with a 6.75 ERA (33 1/3 IP, 25 ER), 1.86 WHIP, 4.3 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 over 8 starts.
- Last outing: Win in 5 IP with 2 ER, 5 H, 3 BB and 7 K at the Chicago White Sox Friday.
- Career vs. Brewers: 0-1 with a 7.94 ERA (5 2/3 IP, 5 ER), 1.41 WHIP and 6.4 K/9 in 1 start and 1 relief appearance.
- vs. Brewers on the current roster: 44 at-bats with a .273/.340/.500 slash line and 3 HR.
MLB betting offers/promotions
BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.
- Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
- RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!
Brewers at Royals odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 2:30 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Brewers -185 (bet $185 to win $100) | Royals +150 (bet $100 to win $150)
- Against the spread/ATS: Brewers -1.5 (-105) | Royals +1.5 (-115)
- Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
Prediction
Brewers 6, Royals 1
Money line (ML)
The Brewers (-185) are pretty much unplayable at this price given how poor their hitting has been this season and so is their -200 First 5 Innings money line despite Burnes’ dominance so far.
Aside from New York Mets RHP Jacob deGrom, Burnes has the best stuff in the National League and the difference between him and Keller is evident in the odds.
FANTASY BASEBALL: Serious about winning your league? Sign up for BaseballHQ.com to dominate the competition. Subscribe now!
Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
“LEAN” to the BREWERS -1.5 (-105) for a half unit because of their overwhelming edge in the starting pitching matchup and because Milwaukee beat Kansas City by 2 or more runs in each of their three 2020 meetings.
Also, Milwaukee’s lineup has been one of the worst in the majors vs. right-handed pitching but that’s due in part to the injured list stints of OF Christian Yelich, who made his return Tuesday.
Yelich’s return should markedly improve the Brewers’ production at the plate and he has crushed righties throughout his career.
Over/Under (O/U)
“LEAN” to the UNDER 7.5 (-115) for a half unit because Burnes should lock down this mediocre Kansas City lineup and Milwaukee’s hitting has been far too unreliable to this point.
In this case, we are relying on the Brewers’ hitting to continue to struggle, but if this is their slump buster game then Burnes still has the stuff to shut out the Royals and help our Under bet cash.
PLAY: Free, daily sports pick’em contests. Play now!
Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.
Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.
Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.
[lawrence-newsletter]
[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]