The Milwaukee Brewers (71-64) and Colorado Rockies (58-79) have split the first 2 games of the series and will battle it out in the rubber match on Wednesday. First pitch is set for 3:10 p.m. ET at Coors Field. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Brewers vs. Rockies odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Brewers lead 4-2
Milwaukee has lost 6 of its last 8 games on the road, dropping their record away from home to 36-38 for the season.
The Rockies recently finished a 3-7 road trip and own the worst road record in the league. They have been pretty good at home, though, with a 37-33 record.
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Brewers at Rockies projected starters
LHP Eric Lauer vs. LHP Kyle Freeland
Lauer (10-6, 3.54 ERA) makes his 26th start. He has a 1.22 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 8.5K/9 in 142 1/3 IP.
- In 5 career starts at Coors Field, he has surrendered 26 ER in 16 IP with a 13/11 K/BB and 5 HR allowed
- Didn’t walk any batters in his last start, but in his previous 8 starts he had walked 23 in 46 1/3 IP (4.5 BB/9).
Freeland (7-9, 4.75 ERA) makes his 27th start. He has a 1.41 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 6.3 K/9 in 147 2/3 IP.
- Sporting an ugly 6.10 ERA and 5.6 K/9 in 13 home starts this season, but has a more respectable 4.74 career ERA in 398 2/3 IP at Coors Field
- Beat Brewers 2-0 in Milwaukee July 25 with 7 scoreless IP, 4 H, 1 BB and 7 K
Brewers at Rockies odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 1:42 a.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Brewers -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Rockies +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers -1.5 (+102) | Rockies +1.5 (-125)
- Over/Under (O/U): 11.5 (O: -125 | U: +100)
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Brewers at Rockies picks and predictions
Prediction
Rockies 6, Brewers 5
Money line
Lauer hasn’t been nearly as good since the All-Star break, as his K-BB% has dropped from 17.3% to 7.3% and his xFIP has jumped by nearly a full run from 3.89 to 4.79. He has also struggled mightily, albeit in a pretty small sample, in 5 previous starts in Colorado.
The Rockies are a different team at home than they are on the road. Freeland has struggled at Coors this year, but has been better throughout his career, and Milwaukee is 25th in wRC+ vs lefties. Back the home dog ROCKIES +115.
Run line/Against the spread
Lauer’s skills have fallen off in the 2nd half and he’ll have his hands full at Coors Field. Even if the Rockies lose, they should keep it close, so taking the ROCKIES +1.5 (-125) is the way to go.
Over/Under
The under is 6-1 in Milwaukee’s last 7 games and 7-2 in Colorado’s last 9, though most of those were on the road. Both teams should put up some runs, but this could go either way and the smart move is to simply PASS on the total.
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