The Milwaukee Brewers (2-3) and Chicago Cubs (3-2) will meet in the rubber match of their three-game series Wednesday at 2:20 p.m. ET at Wrigley Field. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Brewers vs. Cubs odds with MLB picks and predictions.
RHP Brandon Woodruff is the projected starting pitcher for the Brewers. In 2020, he went 3-5 with a 3.05 ERA, 0.99 WHIP, 11.1 K/9 and 2.2 BB/9 in 73 2/3 IP over 13 starts. Woodruff allowed three earned runs in just four innings in his season debut against the Twins last week, striking out five batters.
RHP Kyle Hendricks is the projected starting pitcher for the Cubs. He also struggled in his first start of the year, allowing three earned runs and seven base runners across three innings.
Last year, Hendricks was outstanding, as he put up a 2.88 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, 7.1 K/9 and 0.9 BB/9 in 81 1/3 IP over 12 starts. In 88 career appearances (87 starts) at Wrigley, he owns a 2.58 ERA and 1.03 WHIP.
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Brewers at Cubs odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:30 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Brewers -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Cubs -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Brewers -1.5 (+145) | Cubs +1.5 (-175)
- Over/Under: 9 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Prediction
Brewers 4, Cubs 3
Money line (ML)
Hendricks has a good matchup, as the Brewers ranked 26th in wRC+ vs RHP in 2020. However, while he has never been a hard thrower, it is at least a little concerning that his four-seamer and sinker were sub-86 MPH in his first start.
The Brewers halted their three-game skid on Tuesday evening, and look to make it two wins in a row as they send their Opening Day starter to the mound.
Woodruff wasn’t at the top of his game last time out but is a good bet to get back on track in this one. With the more dominant starter on the mound, the stronger bullpen, and slightly better odds, the lean is BREWERS -105.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
With Woodruff and Hendricks on the mound, this looks like a game that will be close and low-scoring throughout.
Unfortunately, there doesn’t appear to be much value taking +1.5 runs on either side (Brewers -190, Cubs -185). PASS on the run line, and place your bets elsewhere.
Over/Under (O/U)
The Under is 12-3-2 in Milwaukee’s last 17 road contests, and this sets up as another game that won’t involve a lot of offensive action. Look for both starting pitchers to bounce back from disappointing debuts, and keep this game UNDER 9 (-110) the total.
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