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The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (2-5, 1-2 CUSA) and Liberty Flames (6-0, 4-0) meet Tuesday at Williams Stadium. Kickoff is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (CBS Sports Network). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Middle Tennessee vs. Liberty odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
Middle Tennessee covered the spread as a 3-point home favorite with a 31-23 win vs. the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs last Tuesday as the total (54) pushed. QB Nicholas Vattiato threw for 248 yards with 2 TDs and rushed for a score as the Blue Raiders snapped a 3-game losing skid.
Liberty covered as a 7-point favorite with a 31-13 win at the Jacksonville State Gamecocks last Tuesday as the Under (59.5) hit. RB Quinton Cooley rushed for 2 TDs as Liberty improved to 5-1 against the spread (ATS) on the season.
These teams have not played each other since Liberty covered as a 20-point home favorite with a 41-13 win as the Under (59.5) cashed Oct. 9, 2021.
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Middle Tennessee at Liberty odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 10:54 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Middle Tennessee +475 (bet $100 to win $475) | Liberty -650 (bet $650 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Middle Tennessee +14.5 (-115) | Liberty -14.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 56.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Middle Tennessee at Liberty picks and predictions
Prediction
Liberty 41, Middle Tennessee 18
Moneyline
Liberty (-650) should have no trouble keeping its undefeated season alive vs. the 2-5 Blue Raiders. However, -650 is too much to lay on the Flames.
PASS. Lay the points and/or the total instead.
Against the spread
We saw this line open at -13 Sunday, and it has been creeping up ever since. While -13 obviously would’ve been a better play, Liberty should still cover -14.5 vs. this Middle Tennessee side which is just 2-5 ATS on the season.
Middle Tennessee had failed to cover in 4 straight games before covering last week and has not covered in back-to-back games this season. While 7 games is a small sample size, at least Liberty has shown that it can string together good performances, and the market is reflecting that.
BET LIBERTY -14.5 (-105).
Over/Under
Middle Tennessee is 113th in the nation in opponent points per game this season (34.8), while Liberty is tied for 16th with the Oregon State Beavers in points per game (35.3). This is the best offense that Middle Tennessee has faced all season, and Liberty should be able to score enough to help the Over hit.
BET OVER 56.5 (-110).
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