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The Michigan Wolverines (23-9) and Maryland Terrapins (25-7) meet Saturday, as they vie for a berth in the Big Ten Championship Game. Tip-off for Saturday’s second semifinal at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis is set for 3:30 p.m. ET (CBS). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college basketball odds around the Michigan vs. Maryland odds, and make our expert college basketball picks and predictions.
Michigan — ranked 21st in the USA TODAY Sports Men’s Basketball Coaches Poll — is the No. 3 seed in Indy. The Wolverines had a double-bye in the 15-team bracket and played their first tourney game Friday. UM was a 2.5-point underdog against Purdue and defeated the Boilermakers 86-68. The victory snapped a 3-game losing streak. One of those 3 losses came to these Terrapins (71-65 as a 1.5-point home favorite) March 5.
Maryland — ranked 11th in the nation and seeded second in this tournament — covered a -1.5 in an 88-65 route over 25th-ranked and seventh-seeded Illinois Friday. The win came after a double-bye for a Terps five that is now 8-1 straight up (SU) and 7-2 against the spread (ATS) since Feb. 9.
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Michigan vs. Maryland odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:10 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Michigan +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Maryland -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
- Against the spread: Michigan +4.5 (-110) | Maryland -4.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 150.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Michigan vs. Maryland picks and predictions
Prediction
Maryland 77, Michigan 72
Moneyline
No interest. PASS.
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Against the spread
The Terrapins are 3-0 SU and 3-0 ATS over the last 3 series meetings.
Maryland is 6-1 across its last 7 road/neutral Quad I games. That includes 4 straight wins, during which the Terps have managed an average margin of victory of 7.7 points. The team has been playing at an elite level on defense especially and has displayed solid control in how it flows through games.
Over the last month or so, Michigan’s turnover rates have been shaky at both ends (forcing few and making many). And since Feb. 9, the Wolverines have shot just 25.4% from 3-point range. And compared to Maryland’s, the team’s analytics suffer significant drop off in Quad I contests.
FanDuel Sportsbook has the Terps listed with a value line: BACK MARYLAND -3.5 (-120).
Over/Under
The March 5 game easily cashed on an Under 155.5, and the Under is 4-0 across the last 4 series meetings. The Under is also 5-0 in Maryland’s last 5 games.
Michigan’s struggles from distance of late and the Terps’ surge on defense make for a lean on the Under here. And both sides have significantly lower pace figures when playing tougher opponents, and they have filed slower numbers over recent weeks.
FanDuel Sportsbook offers a better price here: take the UNDER 150.5 (-110).
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