Michigan football vs. Northwestern: by the numbers, preview, score predictions

This really is everything you need to know about how these two teams stack up.

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Michigan football hosts the Northwestern Wildcats on Saturday at noon EDT after coming off of a bye week. This week, we’re combining the ‘by the numbers’ article with the staff predictions. You can find most of how each team ranks from a statistical standpoint, and then the players to watch and the WolverinesWire staff predictions on the next page.

Offense

Rank (metric) Rank (metric)
Michigan scoring offense 14th (38.5 ppg) 61st (23.8 ppg) Northwestern scoring defense
Michigan rushing offense 6th (246.5 ypg) 118th (206.17 ypga) Northwestern rushing defense
Michigan passing offense 103rd (194 ypg) 42nd (205.2 ypga) Northwestern passing defense
Michigan total offense 39th (440.5 ypg) 94th (411.13 ypga) Northwestern total defense
Michigan yards per play 26th (6.53 ypp) 95th (5.86 ypga) Northwestern yards per play allowed
Michigan first downs 68th (21 pg) 66th (19.8 apg) Northwestern opp. first downs
Michigan third down conv. 45th (43.04%) 55th (37.21%) Northwestern opp. third down conv.
Michigan fourth down conv. 29th (66.67%) 45th (44.44%) Northwestern opp. fourth down conv.
Michigan red zone conv. 6th (97.56%) 53rd (80%) Northwestern opp. red zone conv.
Michigan sacks allowed 1st (0.33 sapg) 64th (2.33 spg) Northwestern sacks
Michigan TFL allowed 1st (2.17 tfla/gm) 98th (5.33 tfl/gm) Northwestern TFL
Michigan long scrimmage plays 111th (72 10+ yd plays) 34th (76 10+ yd plays) Northwestern long plays allowed
Michigan penalties 35th (46.2 yds/gm) 48th (57.7 yds/gm) Northwestern opp. penalties
Michigan TOP 25th (31:38.00) 57th (29:57.67) Northwestern TOP

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Defense

Rank (metric) Rank (metric)
Michigan scoring defense 8th (15.5 ppg) 110th (21.8 ppg) Northwestern scoring offense
Michigan rushing defense 33rd (119.33 ypga) 54th (171.33 ypg) Northwestern rushing offense
Michigan passing defense 22nd (190.7 ypga) 95th (203.3 ypg) Northwestern passing offense
Michigan total defense 20th (310 ypga) 84th (374.7 ypg) Northwestern total offense
Michigan yards per play allowed 26th (4.91 yppa) 96th (5.2 ypp) Northwestern yards per play
Michigan opp. first downs 19th (16.5 apg) 89th (20 pg) Northwestern first downs
Michigan opp. third down conv. 31st (34.09%) 74th (39.13%) Northwestern third down conv.
Michigan opp. fourth down conv. 34th (38.46%) 68h (50%) Northwestern fourth down conv.
Michigan opp. red zone conv. 68th (83.33%) 122nd (69.18%) Northwestern red zone conv.
Michigan sacks 64th (2.33 s/gm) 58th (2.17 sa/gm) Northwestern sacks allowed
Michigan TFL 102nd (5.17 tfl/gm) 75th (6.5 tfla/gm) Northwestern TFL allowed
Michigan long scrimmage plays allowed 7th (61 10+ yd plays) 111h (72 10+ yd plays) Northwestern long plays
Michigan opp. penalties 116th (40 yd/gm) 26th (44.2 yd/gm) Northwestern penalties
Michigan turnover margin 9th (+1/gm) 63rd (0/gm) Northwestern turnover margin

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Special teams

Rank (metric) Rank (metric)
Michigan kickoff 47th (63.29 yds) 35th (60.64 yds) Northwestern opp. kickoff
Michigan kickoff return 59th (20.93 yds/ret) 41st (19.06 yds/ret) Northwestern kickoff return allowed
Michigan punting 39th (45.11 yds/p) 99th (44.35 yds/p) Northwestern opp. punting
Michigan punt return 22nd (13.07 yds/ret) 70th (7.5 yds/ret) Northwestern punt return allowed
Michigan field goals 18th (92.3%) 6th (50%) Northwestern opp. field goals
Michigan PAT 1st (100%) 64th (100%) Northwestern opp. PAT
Michigan opp. kickoff 5th (57.77 yds) 77th (62 yds) Northwestern kickoff
Michigan kickoff return allowed 1st (8.75 yds/ret) 127th (12.86 yds/ret) Northwestern kickoff return
Michigan opp. punting 112th (45.24 yds/p) 75th (42.68 yds/p) Northwestern punting
Michigan punt return allowed 28th (4 yds/ret) 3rd (19.18 yds/ret) Northwestern punt return
Michigan opp. field goals 50h (71.4%) 125th (50%) Northwestern field goals
Michigan opp. PAT 64th (100%) 1st (100%) Northwestern PAT

NEXT PAGE: Players to look out for, final predictions