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The No. 2 Michigan Wolverines (4-0, 1-0 Big Ten) and Nebraska Cornhuskers (2-2, 0-1) tussle Saturday in a Big Ten battle in Lincoln, Neb. Kickoff time at Memorial Stadium is slated for 3:30 p.m. ET (FOX). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Michigan vs. Nebraska odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
Michigan is No. 2 in the US LBM Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports. The Wolverines defeated Rutgers 31-7 as 24-point favorites last Saturday. All 4 of Michigan’s games have seen the team score between 30-35 points while allowing a single-digit number, but it has yet to cover the spread in any contest.
Nebraska failed to cover as a 20-point favorite last week, defeating Louisiana Tech 28-14. The Cornhuskers won despite passing for just 107 yards and going 3-of-11 in converting 3rd downs.
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Michigan at Nebraska odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 8:40 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Michigan -1000 (bet $1,000 to win $100) | Nebraska +650 (bet $100 to win $650)
- Against the spread (ATS): Michigan -17.5 (-110) | Nebraska +17.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 39.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Michigan at Nebraska picks and predictions
Prediction
Michigan 28, Nebraska 10
Moneyline
Out of bounds on both ends: PASS.
Against the spread
The Wolverines have won 3 consecutive meetings straight up and are 2-0-1 ATS in 3 games since 2018.
But peg the pace and maybe weather conditions making for a final margin very close to what’s listed here. PASS.
Over/Under
Nine of the last 12 Nebraska games have hit the Under and 9 of the last 14 Michigan games have done likewise.
The ‘Huskers have become the Big Ten’s service academy, piling up more-than-a-2-to-1 run-to-pass ratio on play calls so far. UM has been quite good against the rush (2.8 yards per attempt), so don’t look for UN to bust loose on the ground. However, the Cornhuskers won’t gain much of anything by going to the air even down 3 scores.
The Wolverines rank 127th in plays per game (57.8); the only reason Nebraska ranks higher (97th) is that it trails more often. If you look at the game flow in UM’s last 2 games, the Wolverines could have easily been held to fewer than 30 points in each,
Last year’s UM-UN game (Nov. 12) was lined at 50.5 points. The Under hit with a 34-3 Michigan win. On what is forecasted as a hot, windy afternoon in Lincoln, look for something similar Saturday.
BACK THE UNDER 39.5 (-110).
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