Miami Dolphins at New Orleans Saints odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday Night Football’s Miami Dolphins at New Orleans Saints odds and lines, with expert NFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The Miami Dolphins (7-7) travel to meet the New Orleans Saints (7-7) for the Week 16 Monday Night Football at Caesars Superdome in New Orleans. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Dolphins vs. Saints odds and lines, and make our best NFL picks, predictions and bets.

The Dolphins have rolled up six consecutive victories to go from last place team to a playoff contender since Halloween. The Dolphins are also 5-1 against the spread (ATS) across the six-game win streak, while hitting the Under in five of the past seven.

The Saints shocked the defending champ Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the Week 15 Sunday night game, scoring a 9-0 shutout. However, for this prime-time contest, New Orleans’ top two quarterbacks, starter Taysom Hill and backup Trevor Siemian, are on the reserve/COVID-19 list. So, rookie QB Ian Book will make his first NFL start in this critical game.

Dolphins at Saints odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Sunday at 11:57 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Dolphins -180 (bet $180 to win $100) | Dolphins +145 (bet $100 to win $145)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Dolphins -3.5 (+100) | Dolphins +3.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 36.5 (O: -117 | U: -103)

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Dolphins at Saints key injuries

Dolphins

  • WR Albert Wilson (reserve/COVID-19 list) out

Saints

  • OT Terron Armstead (knee) questionable
  • DE Marcus Davenport (shoulder, knee) questionable
  • LB Demario Davis (reserve/COVID-19 list) out
  • QB Taysom Hill (reserve/COVID-19 list) out
  • DB Malcolm Jenkins (reserve/COVID-19 list) out
  • OT Ryan Ramczyk (reserve/COVID-1ist) out
  • QB Trevor Siemian (reserve/COVID-19 list) out
  • WR Tre’Quan Smith (shoulder) questionable
  • TE Adam Trautman (reserve/COVID-19 list) out

Let’s Make This Interesting

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Dolphins at Saints odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Dolphins 22, Saints 13

Money line

The DOLPHINS (-180) are a good play if you want to avoid laying the points and play Miami straight up. The -180 juice is a bit pricier than I like, but it’s not terrible. You’re playing against Book, who is making his first start for the Saints, and you can expect he will make some mistakes.

Against the spread

The DOLPHINS -3.5 (+100) are a decent play on the road in this prime-time game, which looked like a dog a few weeks ago. Now, this matchup has all kinds of luster and playoff implications.

I like Miami to win, but I am a bit nervous about New Orleans RB Alvin Kamara as he is going to be the workhorse with a green QB and some receivers out. If the Dolphins can stop him, they’ll win this one handily.

Over/Under

The UNDER 36.5 (-103) is the lean, surprisingly. You used to see totals in the 20s and 30s on a routine basis back in the day, but in this day of airing it out and plenty of offense, it’s a rarity.

Even more rare is suggesting playing an Under so low, but it’s the way to go. The Saints defense is fierce, you have a third-string rookie making his first NFL start and the Dolphins have been hot, and should be successful on D, too.

It’s a perfect storm for an UNDER.

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