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The Miami Dolphins (8-5) travel to upstate New York to take on the Buffalo Bills (10-3) on Saturday. Kickoff is set for 8:15 p.m. ET (NFL Network). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Dolphins vs. Bills odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.
The Dolphins are on a 2-game losing streak, previously falling to the San Francisco Niners (33-17) and Los Angeles Chargers (23-17). Last week, Miami had no answer for QB Justin Herbert, giving up 432 yards.
QB Tua Tagovailoa struggled, going 10-for-28 for 145 yards and a TD. Four of the receptions and 81 of the yards went to WR Tyreek Hill, who also had a 56-yard fumble scoop-and-score in the 2nd quarter. Hill, in his 1st year with the franchise, has 100 receptions and broke former Dolphins WR Mark Clayton‘s single-season receiving yards record (1,389) last week.
Buffalo is on a 4-game winning streak, most recently beating the New York Jets 20-12, but failing to cover as 10-point favorites. In that span the Over is only 1-3 and the Bills are 2-2 against the spread (ATS). Having already clinched a playoff spot, the Bills will be looking to further cement a 1st-round bye with a win against Miami.
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Dolphins at Bills odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 10:38 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Dolphins +270 (bet $100 to win $270) | Bills -330 (bet $330 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Dolphins +7 (-110) | Bills -7 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 44.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Dolphins at Bills key injuries
Dolphins
- DB Elijah Campbell (concussion) out
- S Eric Rowe (hamstring) out
- RB Jeff Wilson (hip) questionable
Bills
- G Ryan Bates (ankle) out
- NT Jordan Phillips (shoulder) out
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Dolphins at Bills picks and predictions
Prediction
Bills 24, Dolphins 20
Moneyline
AVOID.
The odds for the home favorite pose too much of a risk with not enough of a reward. Backing Miami at (+270) given how good Buffalo has been doesn’t seem likely to pay off.
Against the spread
BET DOLPHINS +7 (-110).
Although they are on a losing streak, expect the Dolphins’ offense to come out firing with weapons like Hill and WR Jalen Waddle. The dynamic duo will surely make some noise and keep the Dolphins within 7 points.
In the last 5 meetings between these 2 teams, the underdog is 3-1-1. Miami has the weapons to win the battle in the trenches, and in the cold, that could be the difference here.
Over/Under
LEAN UNDER 44.5 (-110).
All the stats in this game point toward the Under.
For the Bills, the Under is 8-0 in their last 8 games following a straight-up win, 7-1 in their previous 8 against AFC opponents, 4-0 in their previous 4 against AFC East opponents, and 6-1 in their previous 7 games against teams with a winning record.
Although these are 2 high-powered offenses, the weather in Buffalo is predicted to be snowy and cold with a high of 32 degrees, which will affect both teams. The Bills’ secondary is also one of the best in the NFL and should at least limit what Hill and Waddle are capable of.
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