The Memphis Showboats (1-3) and New Orleans Breakers (4-0) meet Sunday for a Week 5 USFL game at Protective Stadium in Birmingham, Ala. Kickoff is scheduled for 3 p.m. ET (FOX). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Showboats vs. Breakers odds, and make our expert USFL picks, predictions and bets.
The Showboats picked up their 1st victory of the season last week in Detroit, topping the Michigan Panthers 29-10 to win as 6.5-point underdogs. After opening the season 0-2 against the spread (ATS), Memphis is 2-0 ATS in the last 2 outings. The Over and Under has alternated in each of their 4 contests.
The Breakers have won and covered all 4 games to date, scoring 38 or more points in 2 of the previous 3 outings. The Over/Under, like Memphis, is 2-2 through 4 contests.
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Showboats at Breakers odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:46 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Showboats +240 (bet $100 to win $240) | Breakers -300 (bet $300 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Showboats +7 (-105) | Breakers -7 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 47.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Showboats at Breakers key injuries
Showboats
- OT Clayton Bradley (knee)
- LB Nate Hall (hamstring) out
- S Lamont McPhatter (ankle) out
- RB Juwan Washington (ankle) questionable
- DE Jordan Williams (ankle) out
Breakers
- WR Johnnie Dixon (quadriceps) questionable
- S Greg Eisworth II (head) out
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Showboats at Breakers picks and predictions
Prediction
Breakers 31, Showboats 20
Moneyline
The Breakers (-300) will cost you 3 times your potential return, and while New Orleans has been dominant this season, that’s still way too costly for a singular bet, or even as part of a multi-team or cross-sport parlay. There is just no value to betting such heavy favorites, and over the long-term it’s a poor betting strategy.
PASS.
Against the spread
The BREAKERS -7 (-110) are worth a look, although I’d certainly be much more excited if it were to slip to -6.5.
New Orleans is 4-0 ATS so far this season, while Memphis is 2-2 ATS. The Showboats have shown some signs of life in the last 2 weekends, going for 27.5 PPG, so Memphis has the pass attack with QB Brady White to make this an uncomfortable margin all afternoon. In the end, however, NOLA just looks too strong. I’d go lightly, however.
Over/Under
OVER 47.5 (-110) might be the best play on the board Sunday.
The Over is 2-2 for each of these teams so far this season. However, the Boats have allowed 27 or more points on 3 occasions, and the Breakers have allowed 31 or more points in 2 of the last 3. In addition, New Orleans has lit up the scoreboard for 34.3 PPG across the last 3 outings, including 38 or more points on 2 occasions. The scoreboard operator might be quite busy in B-Ham Sunday.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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