The San Antonio Spurs (31-44) are fighting for their playoff lives as they host the Memphis Grizzlies (53-23) Wednesday. Tip-off from AT&T Center is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Grizzlies vs. Spurs odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.
Over the past two weeks, San Antonio is 5-1 straight up (SU) and 3-3 against the spread (ATS). The Spurs have won 4 straight games with the latest being a 123-120 road win over the Houston Rockets Monday.
San Antonio is currently the 10th and the final play-in seed in the West. The Spurs own the tiebreaker against the Los Angeles Lakers, who have the same record.
Memphis is on a 5-game winning streak (5-0 ATS), all without All-Star PG Ja Morant. The Grizzlies are 18-2 SU in games Morant misses.
The Grizzlies are 3-0 SU and ATS versus the Spurs this season and have won 6 straight against San Antonio since January 2021 (5-1 ATS).
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Grizzlies at Spurs odds, spread and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:44 p.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Grizzlies -230 (bet $230 to win $100) | Spurs +180 (bet $100 to win $180)
- Against the spread: Grizzlies -5.5 (-108) | Spurs +5.5 (-112)
- Over/Under: 233.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)
Grizzlies at Spurs key injuries
Grizzlies
- PF Jarren Jackson Jr. (thigh) questionable
- PG Ja Morant (knee) out
Spurs
- SF Doug McDermott (ankle) out
- SG Lonnie Walker IV (back) available
[tipico]
Grizzlies at Spurs odds, lines, picks and predictions
Prediction
Grizzlies 119, Spurs 116
Money line
PASS even though I like San Antonio plus the points and generally “sprinkle” on an underdog’s ML when betting it to cover the spread.
But I cannot get there with the Spurs (+180) because the Grizzlies (-230) have owned San Antonio in recent seasons and both teams have a similar identity. Memphis is just far more efficient.
The Grizzlies have a glaring strength-on-weakness edge on the glass. Memphis has the highest offensive-rebounding rate in the NBA and scores the most second-chance points per game (PPG). San Antonio is 24th in defensive-rebounding rate and 29th in second-chance PPG allowed.
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Against the spread
LEAN SPURS +5.5 (-112).
They’re at home and playing with max motivation since they are in the thick of the playoff race. Plus, there’s reverse-line movement in San Antonio’s direction.
According to Pregame.com and VegasInsider.com, a vast majority of the market is betting on Memphis, but the Grizzlies have been lowered from 7-point opening favorites down to the current number. It’s a red flag whenever sportsbooks make the more popular side cheaper.
Lastly, despite what Memphis’ record is sans Morant, San Antonio has an edge in the backcourt. Spurs PG Dejounte Murray made his All-Star Game debut in February and he’ll ball out versus Grizzlies backup PG Tyus Jones.
It’s only a LEAN to the SPURS +5.5 (-112) since they are 6-13 ATS as home underdogs with a minus-4.0 ATS margin.
Over/Under
Slight LEAN to the OVER 233.5 (-115) because there isn’t a big margin between my prediction and the projected score and we’re getting the worst of the number. The look-ahead total for Grizzlies-Spurs was set at 230.5 and has been steamed up the current price by a flood of Over money.
But Memphis and San Antonio play at the fourth- and fifth-highest pace, respectively. Also, the Grizzlies are 20-16-2 O/U on the road and the Spurs are 21-15-1 O/U at home.
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