The Memphis Grizzlies (35-17) are in the City of Brotherly Love Monday to play the Philadelphia 76ers (30-19). Tip-off at the Wells Fargo Center is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Grizzlies vs. 76ers odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.
Memphis has won five of its past six games including four straight with the latest being a 20-point beatdown of the Wizards as 6-point home favorites Saturday. The Grizzlies are 7-3 straight-up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) in their last 10 games.
Philly is also the winner of four consecutive games, but the Sixers squeaked past the Kings, 103-101, Saturday as 10.5-point home favorites in their last outing. The 76ers are 7-3 SU and 5-5 ATS over their last 10 games as well.
A Ja Morant-less Grizzlies squad hammered a Joel Embiid-less Sixers 126-91 in their first meeting this season, Dec. 13. Memphis has won and covered three straight in the head-to-head series with Philly.
Grizzlies at 76ers odds, spread and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:20 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Grizzlies +133 (bet $100 to win $133) | 76ers -165 (bet $165 to win $100)
- Against the spread: Grizzlies +3.5 (-108) | 76ers -3.5 (-112)
- Over/Under (O/U): 219.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)
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Grizzlies at 76ers key injuries
Grizzlies
- SG Dillon Brooks (ankle) out
76ers
- None.
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Grizzlies at 76ers odds, lines, picks and predictions
Prediction
Grizzlies 120, 76ers 113
Money line
SPRINKLE on the GRIZZLIES (+133) with the plan of hitting Memphis’ spread harder. The Grizzlies have two strength-on-weakness edges over the Sixers on the glass and in transition.
For instance, Memphis has the highest offensive rebounding rate in the NBA, which results in the Grizzlies averaging the most second-chance points per game (PPG). Whereas Philly is 22nd in defensive rebounding rate and 18th in second-chance PPG allowed.
On top of that, the Grizzlies have an epic mismatch over the Sixers in transition. Memphis plays the second-highest frequency of transition offense and scores the MOST fast-break PPG. Philly is 28th in transition defensive efficiency and 29th in fast-break PPG allowed.
Again, just SPRINKLE on the GRIZZLIES (+133) because Memphis’ spread is the sharper play.
Against the spread
Definitely BET the GRIZZLIES +3.5 (-108) heavier than or instead of their money line (ML). This is a much better spot for Memphis because Philly struggles versus teams in the top 10 of efficiency differential.
According to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG), Philly is 4-7 SU versus top-10 teams with a minus-7.3 adjusted net rating (ranked 22nd) and a minus-5.5 ATS margin (ranked 26th).
Also, the Sixers are 9-13 ATS versus teams with a winning record (3-7 ATS at home) and the Grizzlies are 13-8 ATS versus winning teams (7-3 ATS on the road).
Furthermore, Memphis is seventh in adjusted offensive rating and Philly is just 8-9 SU versus top-10 offenses with a minus-2.7 adjusted net rating and minus-4.5 ATS margin (ranked 29th), per CTG.
For the record, the GRIZZLIES +3.5 (-108) is my favorite wager in this game.
Over/Under
PASS ON THE TOTAL.
On one hand, Memphis’s offense should get a lot of easy second-chance and fast-break points. On the other hand, both teams rank 10th or better in defensive rating and Philly plays the fourth-slowest pace.
The bottom line is I don’t have a strong enough grasp on the total for Grizzlies-76ers and prefer to stick with the Memphis sides.
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