Memphis Grizzlies at Golden State Warriors odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Memphis Grizzlies at Golden State Warriors odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Memphis Grizzlies (20-11) and Golden State Warriors (15-18) meet Sunday at Chase Center. Tip-off is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET (ABC). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Grizzlies vs. Warriors odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Grizzlies covered the spread as 3-point favorites Friday in a 125-100 win at the Phoenix Suns. G Desmond Bane (toe) returned after missing 18 games and finished with 17 points on 4-of-13 shooting from the field.

Memphis is 1-7 against the spread (ATS) in its last 8 road games vs. teams with a winning record at home.

The Warriors failed to cover as 10.5-point underdogs on Wednesday in a 143-113 loss at the Brooklyn Nets. Golden State allowed Brooklyn to score 91 points in the 1st half, the 3rd-most by any team in NBA history.

The Warriors are 11-5 ATS vs. the Grizzlies in their last 16 meetings in the Bay Area.

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Grizzlies at Warriors odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:47 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Grizzlies -270 (bet $270 to win $100) | Warriors +225 (bet $100 to win $225)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Grizzlies -6.5 (-120) | Warriors +6.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 231.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

Grizzlies at Warriors key injuries

Grizzlies

  • None

Warriors

  • Stephen Curry (shoulder) out
  • F Draymond Green (foot) questionable
  • JaMychal Green (health and safety protocols) out
  • Andrew Wiggins (thigh) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Grizzlies at Warriors picks and predictions

Prediction

Warriors 111, Grizzlies 110

Moneyline

Sprinkle on WARRIORS (+220).

The Warriors are 1 of the best home teams in the league at 12-2. While Curry and Wiggins will be out, Golden State should be able to put together an inspired performance playing as an underdog on national television after a historically bad loss.

Memphis is far from an offensive juggernaut when playing away from home. The Grizzlies are 28th in the NBA in team true shooting percentage on the road, while Golden State perimeter threats Jordan Poole and Klay Thompson may be able to provide enough offense for the Warriors to pull off the upset.

Against the spread

BET WARRIORS +6.5 (+100).

The market is down on the Warriors for multiple reasons. However, the historic loss vs. the Nets should help Golden State come out extra focused on Christmas Day, while Bane’s return shouldn’t make the Grizzlies that much better in the short term.

No Curry for the Warriors is a big loss, but Poole and Thompson should be able to carry the load offensively and help the Warriors cover in a low-scoring game. Take the points with an extra-motivated Warriors team looking to bounce back after an embarrassing loss.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 231.5 (-108).

The Warriors are a well-coached team under Steve Kerr and should bounce back defensively after allowing 91 points in the 1st half vs. Brooklyn. Golden State’s focus on defense combined with the Grizzlies’ poor shooting on the road should help the Under hit Sunday. The Under is 6-0 in the Grizzlies’ last 6 road games vs. teams with a winning record at home. Memphis should struggle to put up a lot of points Christmas Day.

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