Memphis Grizzlies at Denver Nuggets odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Monday’s Memphis Grizzlies at Denver Nuggets NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Memphis Grizzlies (31-28) wrap up their seven-game road trip Monday night and take on the Denver Nuggets (39-21). Tip-off is at 9 p.m. ET in Ball Arena. Below, we analyze the Grizzlies-Nuggets odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.

The Grizzlies are 4-2 on this road trip and beat the Portland Trail Blazers in consecutive games, picking up a 120-113 win Sunday behind Ja Morant‘s 28 points, eight rebounds and three assists.

Memphis is sitting in eighth place in the West, two games behind the sixth-seeded Dallas Mavericks in the race to avoid the play-in games.

The Nuggets defeated the Houston Rockets 129-116 Saturday and have won five of their last six games since PG Jamal Murray was lost for the rest of the season with a torn ACL. Denver sits in fourth place in West, five games behind first-place Utah Jazz.

Grizzlies at Nuggets: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:40 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Grizzlies +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Nuggets -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Grizzlies +4.5 (-110) | Nuggets -4.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 228.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Grizzlies at Nuggets: Key injuries

Grizzlies

  • None.

Nuggets

  • PG Monte Morris (hamstring) questionable
  • SF Will Barton (hamstring) out

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Grizzlies at Nuggets: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Nuggets 126, Grizzlies 123

Money line (ML)

The Nuggets have been a very solid 21-10 at home this season and are faring much better than expected since the injury to Murray. They are an impressive 11-3 when they have a rest advantage like tonight.

The Grizzlies have been good on the road this season, going 18-12 away from home. They are only 6-5 with no rest.

Take the Nuggets (-190).

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Against the spread (ATS)

The Grizzlies have one of the best ATS records in the league at 38-21, the second-best in the league. They are 20-10 ATS on the road and have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games.

Denver is 28-32 ATS and 13-18 ATS at home. They have failed to cover the spread in their last four games and are 2-7 ATS in their last nine.

I like the Nuggets to win, but if I were to pick a better bet, I would take GRIZZLIES +4.5 (-110). 

Over/Under (O/U)

At 56.7%, the Nuggets have the fifth-highest Over percentage in the league but only three of their last eight games have gone Over the total.

Memphis is 31-28 O/U but five of the last seven and nine of the last 12 games have gone Over the total for them.

Take OVER 228.5 (-110). 

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