Maryland at Purdue odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Maryland at Purdue odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Maryland Terrapins (8-1, 1-0 Big Ten) visit the seventh-ranked Purdue Boilermakers (7-2, 0-1) Sunday afternoon. Tip-off from Mackey Arena is set for noon ET (Big Ten Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college basketball odds around the Maryland vs. Purdue odds, and make our expert college basketball picks and predictions.

Maryland enters on a 5-game win streak following a dominant 83-59 victory as a 5.5-point home favorite vs. Ohio State Wednesday. G Ja’Kobi Gillespie led all scorers with 23 points, while C Derik Queen recorded his 3rd double-double of the season with 17 points and 11 rebounds. Maryland’s defense was relentless, holding the Buckeyes to 17 first-half points — the Terps led 50-17 at the half — and forcing 17 turnovers overall in the impressive win. Thanks to that defense, the Under (146.5) cashed.

Purdue suffered its second loss of the season, falling 81-70 at Penn State Thursday in snapping a 3-game win streak. The Boilermakers didn’t cover as 2-point road underdogs, and the Over (149) hit. Turnovers were the story, as Purdue committed 24, while Penn State recorded 14 steals. F Trey Kaufman-Renn and G Fletcher Loyer led Purdue with 15 points apiece, but the mistakes proved too costly against a relentless Penn State defense.

– RankingsUSA TODAY Sports Men’s Basketball Coaches Poll 

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Maryland at Purdue odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college basketball odds. Lines last updated at 6:29 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Maryland +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Purdue -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Maryland +4.5 (-105) | Purdue -5.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 143.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Maryland at Purdue picks and predictions

Prediction

Maryland 78, Purdue 75

Moneyline

BET MARYLAND (+155).

The Terrapins are off to an impressive start, with their only loss coming in a tight home battle against No. 4 Marquette — 78-74 as 2.5-point favorites. Purdue also faced the Golden Eagles but lost by 18 — 76-58 as a 5.5-point road underdog. Maryland has covered in its last 2 games, including the dominant Big Ten opener against Ohio State.

While Purdue has relied on Kaufman-Renn (18.7 points per game) to fill the void left by C Zach Edey, he’ll face a tough challenge against Maryland’s standout freshman in Queen, who’s averaging 16.6 PPG and 8.3 rebounds per game.

Maryland’s balanced attack has been lethal, shooting 49.5% from the field, while forcing 16.8 turnovers per game on defense. The Boilermakers, meanwhile, are coming off a sloppy performance with 24 turnovers against the Nittany Lions.

Expect the TERRAPINS (+155) to edge out a hard-fought victory on the road.

Against the spread

PASS.

If you want to play it safe and take the 4.5 points with the Terps, I won’t fault you. I prefer the plus-odds with the moneyline.

Over/Under

BET OVER 143.5 (-110).

This total feels too low, and I’m jumping on it.

Both teams average a combined 164.1 points per game — Maryland 86.3 PPG, Purdue at 77.8 PPG. That’s 20.6 points higher than the O/U line. While Big Ten matchups can be slow-paced, this one doesn’t feel like it’ll drop that far.

Maryland had hit Overs in 5 straight games until it shut down Ohio State. The Terps still scored 83 points in that contest.

Purdue has scored 70-plus points in 8 of 9 games, and Maryland has cracked 90 three times this season, including twice in the last 3 games. The Terrapins thrive on speeding things up, as seen in their 22 points off turnovers against the Buckeyes.

Sunday afternoon should bring a fast-paced battle with plenty of scoring. BACK OVER 143.5 (-110).

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