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The No. 1 Oregon Ducks (9-0, 6-0 Big Ten) welcome the Maryland Terrapins (4-4, 1-4) to Autzen Stadium Saturday. Kickoff is set for 7 p.m. ET (Big Ten Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college football odds around the Maryland vs. Oregonodds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
Oregon is No. 1 in the US LBM Coaches Poll. The Ducks beat the Michigan Wolverines on the road 38-17 in Week 10, closing as a 14.5-point favorite Saturday. Their marque win over the season came in a 32-31 home victory over the No. 3 Ohio State Buckeyes. Oregon has scored at least 30 points in every game but its first. While it has covered in both of its last 2 home games (Ohio State and Illinois), it is just 2-3 against the spread (ATS) overall.
The Terrapins were dominated in their last battle, losing 48-23 to the Minnesota Golden Gophers in Week 9. They closed as a 6-point road underdog in that game on Oct. 26. Maryland is coming off its bye week. It has lost 3 of its last 4 games and is 1-3 ATS in that stretch. The Terrapins defense has been the main issue, allowing at least 37 points in 3 of their last 4 games. They are just 3-5 ATS, and 1-2 ATS on the road.
– US LBM Coaches Poll: Conducted by the American Football Coaches Association and USA TODAY Sports
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Maryland at Oregon odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college football odds. Lines last updated Friday at 4:50 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Maryland +1300 (bet $100 to win $1,300) | Oregon -3000 (bet $3,000 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Maryland +23.5 (-110) | Oregon -23.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 57.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Maryland at Oregon picks and predictions
Prediction
Oregon 43, Maryland 17
Moneyline
PASS.
There’s zero reason to consider the Ducks here. They are far too expensive of a favorite, and the Terrapins haven’t played remotely well enough to think they could pull off an upset.
Against the spread
BET OREGON -23.5 (-110).
The Ducks have been surging and covering well as of late. They are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games, closing as a favorite of 23 points or greater in 2 of their last 3. In Big Ten play, Oregon is 4-2 ATS.
It has scored at least 38 points in 2 straight weeks, and that type of firepower will be hard for a Maryland side that gave up 48 points to Minnesota in its last time on the field to contain. The Terrapins have allowed 48, 28, 37 and 42 points in their last 4, all against offenses not as impressive as Oregon’s attack. Maryland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5.
Considering those trends, back OREGON -23.5 (-110).
Over/Under
BET OVER 57.5 (-110).
The Terrapins and high-scoring games have gone hand-in-hand this season. They are 5-0 O/U in their last 5 and 7-1 O/U on the season. Their defense has been mainly to blame, but they have scored at least 23 points in 7 of 8 games.
The Ducks are 4-5 O/U and 2-2 O/U in their last 4 games. Oregon has been on fire offensively. While its defense has held score, it has allowed at least 13 points in 6 of 9 games and has given up 50 points combined in its last 3 home games.
Considering how weak the Terrapins defense has been this season, back OVER 57.5 (-110).
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