Maryland at Illinois odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Sunday’s Maryland Terrapins at Illinois Fighting Illini sports betting odds and lines, with college basketball betting picks, tips and predictions.

The Maryland Terrapins (6-6 overall, 1-5 Big Ten) visit the Illinois Fighting Illini (9-3, 5-1) in a Sunday evening contest at State Farm Center in Champaign. Tip-off is at 8 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Maryland-Illinois college basketball betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

Illinois is No. 12 in the Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Maryland at Illinois: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:47 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Maryland +375 (bet $100 to win $375) | Illinois -500 (bet $500 to win $100)
  • ATS: Maryland +9.5 (-110) | Illinois -9.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 146.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Maryland at Illinois: Three things to know

  1. The Terrapins pulled off a two-game sweep against the Illini last season. In the game at UI (Feb. 7), Maryland won 75-66 despite being a minus-10 in the rebounding margin. The Terps held Illinois to a 36.1% mark from the floor. The victory was part of a nine-game win streak for Maryland.
  2. Illinois has been held to a lower field-goal mark than that 36.1% just once in 20 games since Feb. 7. The 2020-21 Illini own a 59% effective field-goal mark, a figure which ranks fifth in NCAA-I. Illinois ranks 17th in the nation in scoring at 85.0 points per game.
  3. UI is led by the two-headed, inside-outside combination of G Ayo Dosunmu and C Kofi Cockburn. Dosunmu heads into Sunday night’s game averaging 22.3 points, 6.8 rebounds, and 5.1 assists per game. Cockburn is averaging 17.0 PPG and 10.1 RPG. Dosunmu had back-to-back 30-point games Dec. 23 and 26, and he has had three such games this season.

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Maryland at Illinois: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Illinois 77, Maryland 67

Money line (ML)

The Fighting Illini are the more talented team. They’re on a nice roll, and the ML price here (an 83.33% implied win probability) does offer a bit of value.

TAKE ILLINOIS (-500).

Against the spread (ATS)

Illinois went 2-3 from Dec. 2-20. Since then, the Illini are 4-0 straight up and 3-0-1 ATS. Two of those covers had 12-plus margins to spare. Over its last six games at home, Illinois is 6-0 with an average score of 87.2 to 59.3.

A slower tempo and more reliance on 3-pointers of late, makes this ATS play a bit riskier, but ILLINOIS -9.5 (-110) is still the lean.

Over/Under (O/U)

These two teams are at opposite ends of the pace/tempo spectrum. Illinois plays games with a lot of possessions; Maryland toils in more plodding affairs. In fact, recently the Illini have slowed things down a bit, working the ball more and setting up more 3-point attempts.

The market hasn’t caught up: The last three UI games have hit the Under but on mixed signals, a PASS is recommended.

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