LSU at Arkansas odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s LSU at Arkansas odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Arkansas Razorbacks (4-2, 2-1 SEC) welcome the No. 8 LSU Tigers (5-1, 2-0) to Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium Saturday for a major SEC clash. Kickoff is set for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college football odds around the LSU vs. Arkansas odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

LSU is No. 8 in the US LBM Coaches Poll. The Tigers are coming off a 29-26 OT win against the visiting No. 15 Ole Miss Rebels Oct. 12 as 4-point underdogs. They have rallied off 5 straight wins after losing on a neutral field to the USC Trojans to open the season Sept. 1. LSU is just 2-4 against the spread (ATS) this season, but has covered back-to-back games.

Before their Week 7 bye, the Razorbacks beat the No. 10 Tennessee Volunteers 19-14 at home Oct. 5. Arkansas has closed an underdog 4 times, going 2-2 straight up and 4-0 ATS. It is 2-0 at home this season, having taken down Tennessee and the UAB Blazers. Arkansas’ defense has been its strength, allowing 21 or fewer points in 4 of 6 games this season, including 3 straight.

– Rankings: US LBM Coaches Poll, conducted by the American Football Coaches Association and USA TODAY Sports

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LSU at Arkansas odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college football odds. Lines last updated at 11:27 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): LSU -145 (bet $145 to win $100) | Arkansas +120 (bet $100 to win $120)
  • Against the spread (ATS): LSU -3 (+100) | Arkansas +3 (-120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 56.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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LSU at Arkansas picks and predictions

Prediction

LSU 28, Arkansas 27

Moneyline

PASS.

The Razorbacks have consistently won at home, but against a side like LSU (-145), they will be underdogs. Arkansas has had just 1 game this season within a 10-point spread, a 70-0 win in its Aug. 29 opener. It plays close games, and this one shouldn’t be any different.

Against the spread

BET ARKANSAS +3 (-120).

Arkansas is 2-0 at Razorback Stadium this season and 1-0 ATS as a home underdog. The Razorbacks are 5-1 ATS this season and have covered 3 straight games. Arkansas’ defense has been its strength, and it has held all 3 conference opponents to 21 or fewer points, including allowing just 14 to a dynamic Tennessee attack.

LSU has played just 2 conference games and won both by 3 points. It is 0-2 ATS away from home. The Tigers are just 2-4 ATS on the season. They haven’t impressed for bettors, and considering how poorly they have played on the road, they may not change that trend in Week 8.

Back ARKANSAS +3 (-120).

Over/Under

BET  UNDER 56.5 (-105).

The Tigers have gone Under in 3 straight games and are 2-4 O/U on the season. They have allowed 17 or fewer points in 2 of their last 3 games.

This matchup should be played at Arkansas’ pace, just like all 3 of the Razorbacks’ SEC games have been. They have gone Under in all 3 conference matchups, scoring between 17 and 24 points while allowing either 14 or 21. Arkansas has figured it out defensively, and that should continue Saturday.

Back UNDER 56.5 (-105).

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