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The Los Angeles Sparks (12-18) visit the Las Vegas Aces (28-3) Saturday at Michelob Ultra Arena at Mandalay Bay. Tip-off is scheduled for 3 p.m. ET (ESPN2). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Sparks vs. Aces odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.
The Sparks are working on a season-best 3-game winning streak, and Los Angeles has covered 7 consecutive games, including the past 6 as an underdog. The defense has been much better of late, and the Under has ended up hitting in 6 of the previous 8 outings.
The Aces bounced back from their Commissioner’s Cup loss to the New York Liberty Tuesday, picking up an 88-75 win over the Liberty Thursday in a game that counts toward the regular-season standings. Las Vegas has won and covered 4 straight outings, while going 6-1 ATS across the past 7 games.
These teams met in Los Angeles July 12, with the Aces coming away with a 97-78 win as 12.5-point favorites while the Over (170) connected. The teams met May 25-27 in a home-and-home set, as the Aces won both games while averaging 93.5 PPG. The Sparks split 1-1 ATS and Over/Under, while averaging 75.0 PPG in those 2 outings.
Sparks at Aces odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:45 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Sparks +1200 (bet $100 to win $1,200) | Aces -3000 (bet $3,000 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Sparks +17.5 (-115) | Aces -17.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 169.5 (O: -110) | U: -110)
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Sparks at Aces picks and predictions
Prediction
Aces 91, Sparks 76
Moneyline
There is never a reason to bet an overwhelming favorite like Las Vegas (-3000), especially when it will cost you 30 times your potential return. In other words, if you were to risk $100, your return would be a paltry $3.33. That’s nonsensical.
PASS.
Against the spread
LOS ANGELES +17.5 (-115) is extremely unlikely to pull off the giant upset and win outright, but it should be able to keep Las Vegas -17.5 (-105) within 17 points.
The Sparks are playing their best basketball of the season, winning 3 in a row outright, while cashing in 7 straight against the number. While Vegas is also hot, covering 6 of the past 7 regular-season games, the lean here is to the Sparks, as that’s a lot of points.
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Over/Under
The UNDER 169.5 (-115) is the lean in Saturday’s matinee action.
The Under has cashed in 4 of the past 6 games for the Aces, including 2 of the previous 3 when favored by double digits.
The Sparks have ticked off 6 Under results in the past 8 contests, while cashing low in 4 of the past 5 following a straight-up win, and 5 of the previous 7 following a cover.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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