The Los Angeles Lakers (28-35) are in the Alamo City Monday for an 8:30 p.m. ET tip-off against the San Antonio Spurs (24-40) at the AT&T Center. Below, we look at the Lakers vs. Spurs odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.
L.A. snapped a 4-game losing skid — 1-2-1 against the spread (ATS) — Saturday by upsetting the Golden State Warriors 124-116 at home as 6-point underdogs. LeBron James erupted for 56 points on 19-of-31 shooting.
San Antonio enters on a 4-game losing steak (1-3 ATS) with the latest game being a 123-117 loss at home to the Charlotte Spurs as 4-point underdogs.
The Lakers are 2-1 straight up (SU) and ATS versus the Spurs this season and the total is 2-0-1 Over/Under (O/U).
Lakers at Spurs odds, spread and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:35 p.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Lakers +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Spurs -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
- Against the spread: Lakers +1.5 (-105) | Spurs -1.5 (-120)
- Over/Under: 234.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)
Lakers at Spurs key injuries
Lakers
- PF Anthony Davis (foot) out
- SF Talen Horton-Tucker (ankle) probable
- SF LeBron James (knee) questionable
Spurs
- SF Devin Vassell (groin) questionable
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Lakers at Spurs odds, lines, picks and predictions
Prediction
Spurs 122, Lakers 113
Money line
Both teams are bad but the SPURS (-130) were projected to be bad and are overperforming expectations. Whereas the Lakers (+110) were projected to be a title contender and are significantly underperforming expectations.
According to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG), San Antonio has a minus-6.1 win differential (ranked dead-last) but has a plus-1.9 ATS margin (ranked sixth).
On the other hand, L.A. has a plus-1.7, but a minus-3.2 ATS margin (ranked dead-last), per CTG. In fact, the Spurs have an 0.0 net rating (ranked 16th) and the Lakers have a minus-2.0 net rating (ranked 21st) despite San Antonio having four fewer wins.
Furthermore, the Spurs crush bad teams; San Antonio is 14-8 SU versus teams in the bottom-10 of net efficiency with a plus-10.4 adjusted net rating (ranked sixth) and a plus-8.0 ATS margin (ranked first), per CTG.
Plus the Spurs are 9-5 SU as home favorites with a plus-9.9 margin of victory and the Lakers are 3-14 SU as road underdogs with a minus-7.0 margin of victory.
Also, this is the perfect spot to fade the Lakers whose last game was an impressive nationally-televised, primetime victory against a title contender because LeBron going berzerk. If LeBron doesn’t go into God mode, L.A. loses to Golden State last weekend.
Finally, the Lakers had AD active and LeBron sitting in their two victories over the Spurs earlier this season. But LeBron played and AD sat out with an injury in L.A.’s 28-point blowout loss at home Dec. 23.
BET the SPURS (-130) for 1.25 units.
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Against the spread
PASS since San Antonio’s ML is only 10 cents on the dollar more expensive than the Spurs -1.5 (-120).
Over/Under
PASS since my prediction is aligned with the projected total so there’s no value in me betting this number.
I “lean” to the Over 234.5 (-105) since L.A. is 11-6 O/U as road underdogs, San Antonio is 10-4 O/U as home favorites and both teams play at a fast pace. But I don’t have a strong enough conviction on my Over “lean” to put any cash on it.
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