The Los Angeles Dodgers (90-39) and New York Mets (83-48) cap off a 3-game series at Citi Field Thursday with a 4:10 p.m. ET first pitch. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Dodgers vs. Mets odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: tied 3-3
Los Angeles and New York have split the first 2 games of this series in a low-scoring fashion. The Dodgers rank 1st in MLB, yielding just 3.14 runs per game. They have an average run differential of 2.22 per game; no other team clocks in at even 1.50.
New York has cooled off since getting out of the gates fast in the second half. The Mets went 15-5 in their first 20 games after the break; they are just 10-9 since. New York is, however, 4-2 on its current homestand.
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Dodgers at Mets projected starters
LHP Clayton Kershaw vs. RHP Chris Bassitt
Kershaw (7-3, 2.64 ERA) has posted a 0.98 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 through 85 1/3 IP across 15 starts.
- Coming off the IL after missing nearly a month with a back injury; last pitched on Aug. 4
- Has held current Mets bats to a whiff-heavy .514 OPS
Bassitt (11-7, 3.34 ERA) is making his 25th start. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 through 148 1/3 IP.
- Allowed 4 runs in his last start but owns a 2.33 ERA over his last 7 turns
- Has clocked a 2.75 ERA and 1.04 WHIP in 85 IP at home
Dodgers at Mets odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:43 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Dodgers -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Mets +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers -1.5 (+122) | Mets +1.5 (-150)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -102 | U: -122)
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Dodgers at Mets picks and predictions
Prediction
Dodgers 4, Mets 3
Money line
The Dodgers are on a roll and the Mets have logged a mere .662 over their last 8 games.
Kershaw off the IL brings in some gray area, but the Los Angeles port-sider has a history of posting excellent numbers on long rest. He tossed approximately 70 pitches in a simulated game Sunday, so it figures the Dodger bullpen gets leveraged for multiple innings Thursday. That relief corps is well rested after LHP Tyler Anderson gave L.A. 7 frames Wednesday.
BACK THE DODGERS (-140).
Run line/Against the spread
This series has seen 2 straight 1-run games and the season series has seen 3 straight. With an Under lean Thursday, AVOID trying to get the Dodgers by with a multi-run cushion.
Over/Under
There is some Under lean here. Both on the batting front for both teams and with game conditions including late-afternoon shadows and a decent pitcher’s breeze coming in from left field.
However, the pricing here nixes any value: PASS.
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