The Miami Marlins (37-47) host the Los Angeles Dodgers (53-33) Wednesday at loanDepot park for the third game of their four-game series. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Dodgers vs. Marlins odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Miami won the first two games of the series, each by a single run and Marlins reliever RHP David Hess was credited with the win in both outings.
Season series: Marlins lead 3-2.
RHP Jake Reed makes his first career start for the Dodgers. He has 2/3 IP under his belt, in which he allowed 1 earned run on 3 hits with 1 walk and 1 strikeout in his only other appearance in L.A.’s 2-1 loss to Miami Tuesday.
- In Triple-A for two different teams this season, Reed was 0-0 with a 5.57 ERA (21 IP, 13 ER), 1.52 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 12.0 K/9 across 17 relief appearances.
LHP Ross Detwiler is on the rubber for the Marlins. He is 1-0 with a 3.23 ERA (30 2/3 IP, 11 ER), 1.08 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 10.6 K/9 across two starts and 28 relief outings.
- Last outing: No-decision with 3 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 0 BB and 1 K in Miami’s 1-0 loss at the Atlanta Braves Friday.
- vs. Dodgers on the current roster: 26 at-bats with .115/.207/.154 slash line, 8/3 K/BB, 0 HR and 4 RBIs.
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Dodgers at Marlins odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 5:15 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Dodgers -160 (bet $160 to win $100) | Marlins +135 (bet $100 to win $135)
- Against the spread/ATS: Dodgers -1.5 (+100) | Marlins +1.5 (-120)
- Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
Prediction
Marlins 6, Dodgers 4
Money line (ML)
Since it’s a “bullpen day” for both ball clubs and Miami’s bullpen ranks higher in WAR, I have a slight “LEAN” toward the MARLINS (+135) for a quarter unit, if at all, especially because I “like” Miami’s run line in this spot.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
Definitely BET the MARLINS +1.5 (-120) heavier than or instead of Miami’s money line since the Marlins are 9-5 ATS as home underdogs and the Dodgers are just 20-23 ATS as road favorites this season.
Furthermore, the last three Dodgers-Marlins meetings were decided by a single run with Miami winning each contest.
Also, each team has played in several one-run games already this season; the Dodgers are 11-16 in one-run games and the Marlins are 9-19 in one-run games, so I’ll happily take Miami plus 1.5 runs at a reasonable price.
Over/Under (O/U)
“LEAN” to the OVER 8.5 (-115) for a half unit since both bullpens have pitched a ton over the past three days so there should be several less effective relievers on the bump throughout the game.
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