The Los Angeles Dodgers (2-1) and Colorado Rockies (1-2) play the finale of a four-game series Sunday at Coors Field. First pitch is slated for 3:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Dodgers vs. Rockies odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Los Angeles beat Colorado last night in a seesaw late-inning battle decided by 2B Zach McKinstry‘s go-ahead inside-the-park homer in the top of the 8th to win 6-5 yesterday.
Season series: Dodgers 2-1.
LHP Julio Urias takes the mound in Game 4 for the Dodgers. Urias was 3-0 with a 3.27 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 7.4 K/9 and 2.9 BB/9 in 55 IP across 11 appearances (10 starts).
- 2020 vs. Rockies: 0-0 with a 5.40 ERA (10 IP, 6 ER, 8 H, 8 K, 2 BB) in 2 starts.
- 2021 Spring Training: 3-1 with a 1.69 ERA (16 IP, 3 ER, 8 H, 12 K, 3 BB) in 5 starts.
LHP Austin Gomber makes his season debut for the Rockies. The 27-year-old debuted in the majors in 2018, but he missed the 2019 season. Gomber was 1-1 with a 1.86 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, 8.4 K/9 and 4.7 BB/9 in 14 appearances (4 starts).
He spent his first two big-league seasons playing for the St. Louis Cardinals.
- Career vs. Dodgers: 0-1 with a 10.13 ERA (8 IP, 9 ER, 14 H, 7 K, 5 BB) in 2 starts.
- 2021 Spring Training: 0-1 with a 3.20 ERA (19 2/3 IP, 7 ER, 18 H, 19 K and 2 BB) in 6 starts.
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Dodgers at Rockies odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 6:40 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Dodgers -250 (bet $250 to win $100) | Rockies +190 (bet $100 to win $190)
- Against the spread/ATS: Dodgers -2.5 (-115) | Rockies +2.5 (-105)
- Over/Under: 11.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Prediction
Rockies 8, Dodgers 6
Money line (ML)
There might be added value in fading the Dodgers and Urias here because the last thing people remember about the lefty was him dealing in Los Angeles’ title run last season.
Urias had an above-average fly ball rate last year which could be a problem in the launching pad known as Coors Field. In fact, Urias’ career 5.77 ERA vs. the Rockies is 3.65 earned runs higher than any other National League West opponent.
At Coors Field, Urias is 0-1 with a 6.55 ERA and 1.59 WHIP in 6 games and 4 starts for his career.
That being said, I only “LEAN” ROCKIES (+190) for a quarter-unit because Colorado’s run line is more enticing.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
Let’s buy insurance with the ROCKIES +2.5 (-105) for 1 unit.
The market started betting Colorado’s run line when this game opened Saturday and early line movement is usually “sharp” money in MLB regular-season betting.
I’d only put .75 units on Colorado’s run line because fading the mighty Dodgers is probably a losing strategy in the long-term and I prefer the total more than the sides in this game.
Over/Under (O/U)
BET FIRST 5 INNINGS OVER 6.5 (-105) for 1 unit based on my read that the Rockies lineup could chase Urias given his struggles historically at Coors Field. If that happens, it’ll “force” Los Angeles to rely on a bullpen that was 2nd in ERA last season.
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