The Los Angeles Dodgers (97-55) and Colorado Rockies (71-80) play the rubber match of a three-game series Thursday at Coors Field. First pitch is scheduled for 3:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Dodgers vs. Rockies odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Dodgers lead 12-6
Colorado won 10-5 Wednesday as Los Angeles fell 2 games back of the first-place San Francisco Giants in the NL West with 10 games to go. The Dodgers, who already clinched a playoff spot, took Tuesday’s opener 5-4 in 10 innings.
RHP Max Scherzer is L.A.’s projected starting pitcher. He is 15-4 with a 2.08 ERA (169 IP, 39 ER), 0.81 WHIP, 12.0 K/9 and 1.9 BB/9 in 28 combined starts this season between the Dodgers and the Washington Nationals.
- Last outing: Win, 7 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 2 BB, 7 K in 5-1 win at Cincinnati Reds Friday
- Since joining the Dodgers: 7-0, 0.78 ERA (58 IP, 5 ER), 0.66 WHIP, 12.3 K/9 and 1.1 BB/9 in nine starts
- Career vs. Rockies: 2-4, 4.55 ERA (57 1/3 IP, 29 ER), 1.31 WHIP, 11.9 K/9 in 10 starts
LHP Kyle Freeland is penciled in to start for the Rockies. He is 6-8 with a 4.50 ERA (108 IP, 54 ER), 1.41 WHIP, 8.1 K/9 and 2.8 BB/9 in 21 starts.
- Last outing: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 6-0 shutout at Nationals Saturday
- 2021 vs. Dodgers: 1-2, 2.84 ERA (19 IP, 6 ER), 17 K, 0.79 WHIP in three starts
- Career vs. Dodgers: 3-7, 4.06 ERA (82 IP, 37 ER), 1.32 WHIP, 7.2 K/9 in 15 starts
Dodgers at Rockies odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 6:40 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Dodgers -270 (bet $270 to win $100) | Rockies +210 (bet $100 to win $210)
- Against the spread/ATS: Dodgers -2.5 (-120) | Rockies +2.5 (+100)
- Over/Under: 10.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Prediction
Dodgers 6, Rockies 1
Money line (ML)
With the –270 price being so high, just BET DODGERS (-270) to WIN a HALF UNIT. For a $100 player, this play is to wager $65 for a $24.07 profit.
While I usually don’t bet on big favorites, I’m willing to risk it here because of Scherzer.
The Dodgers are 9-0 in all nine of his starts since the three-time Cy Young winner joined the club in a July 30 trade. He leads the majors with a 2.08 ERA and is on a personal 11-game winning streak, dating back to June 4 when he was still with the Washington Nationals.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
ATS records: Dodgers 74-78 | Rockies 82-69
While we won with the Rockies ATS play Wednesday – backing them due to their impressive ATS trends, including an MLB-best 47-27 home ATS mark – I can’t suggest that route and go against “Mad Max” here.
First, BET DODGERS -2.5 (-120) to WIN a QUARTER UNIT.
Second, BET the alternate line of DODGERS -1.5 (-170) to WIN a QUARTER UNIT, basically making L.A. the STRONGEST PLAY – 1½ times your usual wager.
Over/Under (O/U)
O/U records: Dodgers 64-78-10 | Rockies 63-82-5
We lost our Under bet Wednesday, but let’s give it another shot.
Back UNDER 10.5 (-110) to WIN a HALF UNIT. Colorado is still the best Under team in the majors with L.A. fourth overall and second in the NL.
The Under is 5-1 in Scherzer’s last six starts and is 4-1 in his last five starts away from Dodgers Stadium.
For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.
| JOHNNY’S RECORD | W-L | SP | ROI |
| SINCE JULY 8 | 38-21 | 17-6 | +17.197 |
| *–SP: Strongest plays; ROI: Return on investment | |||
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