The Los Angeles Chargers (1-2) visit Tom Brady and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-1) Sunday at Raymond James Stadium for a 1 p.m. ET kickoff. Below, we preview the Chargers-Buccaneers Week 4 betting odds and lines and make our NFL picks and best bets.
Chargers at Buccaneers betting odds and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 2 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Chargers +270 (bet $100, win $270) | Buccaneers -334 (Bet $334, win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Chargers +7 (-110) | Buccaneers -7 (-110)
- Over/Under: 43.5 (O: -110, U: -110)
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Chargers at Buccaneers game notes
- The Chargers suffered a surprising 21-16 home loss last week against the Carolina Panthers, who were without star RB Christian McCaffrey. LA, which turned the ball over four times, was a 6-point favorite. It was the Chargers’ second loss in a row after winning their season opener at the Cincinnati Bengals.
- The Buccaneers enter on a two-game win streak after cruising to a 28-10 victory at the Denver Broncos in Week 3. Brady threw 3 first-half touchdowns as the Bucs built a 23-3 lead. Tampa Bay, which finished with 6 sacks, covered as a 6-point favorite.
- Chargers rookie QB Justin Herbert started the last two games after starter Tyrod Taylor suffered a punctured lung when a team doctor tried administrating a pain-killing injection for cracked ribs right before Week 2’s game. Herbert showed poise, throwing for 300-plus yards and a touchdown – along with a pick – in each start, but the team went 0-2. As of Friday afternoon, Herbert’s expected to start once again.
- The Chargers and Buccaneers are both 2-1 against the spread. Los Angeles is 1-0 ATS on the road, while Tampa Bay is 1-0 ATS at home.
Chargers at Buccaneers key injuries
Chargers
- DE Joey Bosa (triceps/ankle) questionable
- T Bryan Bulaga (back) questionable
- CB Chris Harris Jr. (foot) IR
- S Rayshawn Jenkins (groin) questionable
- QB Tyrod Taylor (ribs/chest) doubtful
- G Trai Turner (groin) questionable
- WR Mike Williams (hamstring) doubtful
- T Storm Norton (knee) questionable
Buccaneers
- RB Leonard Fournette (ankle) questionable
- WR Chris Goodwin (hamstring) out
- WR Scott Miller (hip/groin) doubtful
- CB Sean Murphy-Bunting (groin) questionable
- LB Jason Pierre-Paul (knee) questionable
- WR Justin Watson (shoulder) probable
Chargers at Buccaneers: Odds, betting lines, picks and prediction
Prediction
Buccaneers 28, Chargers 13
Money line (?)
While I’m predicting a Tampa Bay win, the -334 price is too expensive. Every $3.34 wagered on the Bucs’ ML profits only $1 if they win. In larger numbers, that’s $34 to win $10 or $334 to win $100, etc. …
In the overall picture, those kinds of bets are for “mopes” and not worth the risk. PASS.
Against the spread (?)
The BUCCANEERS -7 (-110) are the STRONGEST PLAY – which should be 1.5 times your usual wager.
It doesn’t matter who starts at QB for the Chargers. He will be hounded by a Bucs defense that recorded 11 sacks over the last two games.
Over/Under (?)
UNDER 43.5 (-110) is worth a small-unit play – which should be half your usual bet.
The Chargers are 0-3 O/U already this season, which isn’t a surprise. Their offense ranks 30th in scoring at 17.3 points per game, while the defense allows just 19.0 PPG to rank 4th.
Meanwhile, the Bucs are 2-1 O/U, scoring 27.3 PPG (ranking 14th) and allowing 20.3 PPG (7th).
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| Johnny’s 2019 NFL record | 17-10-1 |
| 2020 overall record (all sports) | 107-68-2 |
| Strongest plays (all sports) | 55-26 |
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Also see:
- 4 things to know about LAC vs. TB (Chargers Wire)
- Brady: No regrets picking Bucs over Chargers (Bucs Wire)
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