Los Angeles Angels at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Thursday’s Los Angeles Angels at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Los Angeles Angels (63-65) fell to the Baltimore Orioles (39-86) Wednesday, finally putting an end to Baltimore’s 19-game losing skid. The teams finish their three-game series Thursday with a 1:05 p.m. ET first pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Let’s analyze the lines around the Angels vs. Orioles odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Angels RHP Jamie Barria (2-2, 5.87 ERA) makes his sixth start and eighth appearance. He has a 1.47 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 5.0 K/9 through 30 2/3 IP.

  • Barria has struck out just 12.5% of the batters he has faced which is the fourth-lowest mark among all pitchers with 30 or more IP. He entered the season with a 7.4 K/9 over 244 1/3 career innings but hasn’t missed many bats this season.
  • He allowed 8 ER, 2 HR and 13 H over just 5 IP while struggling through his last two starts.
  • Allowed 5 ER while lasting just 2 frames in a 9-1 loss at the Cleveland Indians Aug. 20 in his last start.

Orioles LHP Keegan Akin (0-8, 7.92 ERA) makes his 19th appearance (12th start). He has a 1.81 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 through 63 2/3 IP.

  • A .374 BABIP and 60.1% LOB% indicate Akin has been a little unlucky but poor skills have also clearly contributed to his bloated ERA that is second highest in the majors among pitchers with 60 IP.
  • Has posted a 10.21 ERA with 9 homers allowed over 39 2/3 IP in his last 11 appearances.
  • He is sporting a 7.48 ERA and 9.1 K/9 in seven outings (four starts) at home.

Angels at Orioles odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:32 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Angels -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Orioles +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Angels -1.5 (+122) | Orioles +1.5 (-155)
  • Over/Under: 10.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

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Prediction

Angels 7, Orioles 5

Money line (ML)

Baltimore has been in a tailspin and they own a league-worst 18-41 record at home. Akin has been getting roughed up by everyone and typically doesn’t give the Orioles a great chance to win – they are 1-17 in games he has pitched in this season.

Go with the ANGELS (-125).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

21 of Baltimore’s last 22 losses have been by more than 1 run. Their -235 run differential is easily the worst in the majors and they were outscored 163-55 during their 19-game losing skid.

The Baltimore offense should put some runs on the board themselves against Barria, but the Angels should come out on top.

The odds are good enough to make a play on the run line here. Take the ANGELS -1.5 (+122).

Over/Under (O/U)

Both starting pitchers possess very mediocre skill-sets and it would come as a surprise if either shut down the opposition on Thursday. This sets up to be a high-scoring affair with plenty of offensive fireworks.

Get in on OVER 10.5 (-107) before the total goes up.

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