Liberty Bowl: Texas Tech vs. Arkansas odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Texas Tech vs. Arkansas odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Texas Tech Red Raiders (8-4) meet the Arkansas Razorbacks (6-6) in the AutoZone Liberty Bowl Friday. Kickoff from Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium in Memphis is set for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college football odds around the Texas Tech vs. Arkansas odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

The Red Raiders beat the West Virginia Mountaineers 52-15 to close out the regular season on Nov. 30, covering as a 2.5-point home favorite. They ended the season on a high note, winning 3 of their last 4 and going 7-2-1 against the spread (ATS) over their last 9. Texas Tech had an 8-point win over No. 10 Arizona State Sun Devils and a 1-point win over the No. 19 Iowa State Cyclones.

The Razorbacks closed out the regular season with a 28-21 road loss to the Missouri Tigers on Nov. 30, failing to cover as a 3-point underdog. They dropped 3 of their last 4 with losses to the No. 4 Texas onghorns and No. 15 Ole Miss Rebels. Arkansas was just 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games. The Razorbacks’ best performance of the year was a 19-14 home win over the No. 6 Tennessee Volunteers.

– Rankings: US LBM Coaches Poll, conducted by the American Football Coaches Association and USA TODAY Sports

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Texas Tech vs. Arkansas odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college football odds. Lines last updated at 12:22 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Texas Tech -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Arkansas +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Texas Tech -1.5 (-110) | Arkansas +1.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 52.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Texas Tech vs. Arkansas picks and predictions

Prediction

Texas Tech 31, Arkansas 23

Moneyline

BET TEXAS TECH (-120).

The Red Raiders were the hotter team down the stretch, scoring 54 points per game over their last 2. They had signature wins over 2 top-20 teams as well and going 3-2 straight up on the road.

The Razorbacks played 5 Power 4 opponents either on the road or on a neutral field and were 2-3. They were 1-3 ATS in their last 4 games with a single-digit spread, going 1-3 outright as well.

Considering those trends, back TEXAS TECH (-120).

Against the spread

PASS.

The spread and moneyline are both playable here considering they are basically the same thing. This should be a close battle, so one should think about taking the risk out of the equation and playing the above option.

Over/Under

BET OVER 52.5 (-110).

The Razorbacks and Red Raiders both know how to score points. Arkansas tallied at least 31 points in 3 of their last 5 games, including scoring 31 on Ole Miss and 58 on Mississippi State. It is 3-2 O/U in its last 5.

The Red Raiders went 5-1 O/U in their last 6, scoring at least 34 points in 4 of those and allowing at least 35 in 4 as well. They play at a fast pace, which should be duplicated here.

Play OVER 52.5 (-110).

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