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The Jacksonville State Gamecocks (5-1, 3-0 C-USA) welcome the Liberty Flames (5-0, 3-0) to Burgess-Snow Field at JSU Stadium Tuesday. Kickoff is set for 7:30 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Liberty at Jacksonville State odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
The Flames beat Sam Houston State 21-16 last Thursday, but failed to cover as a 21.5-point home favorite. Liberty is 4-1 against the spread (ATS) this season, and 2-0 ATS on the road. The Flames are led by QB Kaidon Salter, who has 1,176 passing yards and 12 TDs to go along with 306 rushing yards.
The Gamecocks are coming off a 45-30 win over Middle Tennessee, beating the Blue Raiders by 15 to cover as a 2.5-point road underdog. Jacksonville State is 4-1-1 ATS and 3-0 ATS at home this season. It is led by QB Logan Smothers, who has 5 passing TDs and 5 rushing TDs. The Gamecocks’ lone loss was in a 30-16 Week 3 loss to Coastal Carolina.
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Liberty at Jacksonville State odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:31 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Liberty -250 (bet $250 to win $100) | Jacksonville State +200 (bet $100 to win $200)
- Against the spread (ATS): Liberty -6.5 (-110) | Jacksonville State +6.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 56.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Liberty at Jacksonville State picks and predictions
Prediction
Liberty 31, Jacksonville State 24
Moneyline
PASS.
There’s no reason to bet a -250 moneyline favorite here even though Liberty is 2-0 on the road and undefeated this season.
Against the spread
LEAN LIBERTY -6.5 (-110).
Liberty is coming off a close call against Sam Houston State, but it has been terrific this season ATS and has continued possessions at a high rate.
Liberty ranks 16th in the nation in 3rd-down conversation rate while Jacksonville State sits 108th. The Flames have won 4 of their 5 games by double figures. They will be the better side offensively.
The Gamecocks haven’t played a competent opponent at home yet this season and have yet to be a home underdog, so this will be unfamiliar territory for Jacksonville State, which doesn’t have a QB with a completion rate over 60%
Back LIBERTY -6.5 (-110).
Over/Under
BET UNDER 56.5 (-110).
Jacksonville State is 2-4 O/U, and Liberty is 2-3 O/U this season. The Gamecocks have held their opponent to 30 or fewer in every game and have held their opponent to 14 or fewer in 3 of 6.
Both Liberty and Jacksonville State rank top 25 in opponents’ yards per play, respectively at 4.7 and 4.8. Expect defenses to dominate and take UNDER 56.5 (-110).
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