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The Las Vegas Aces (19-12) and Phoenix Mercury (16-16) meet Sunday at Footprint Center in Phoenix. Tip-off is scheduled for 3 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Aces vs. Mercury odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.
Season series: Aces lead 2-1
The Aces rebounded from a 93-90 loss in Dallas to upend the visiting Atlanta Dream 83-72 on Friday as a 10.5-point favorite. The cover snapped an 0-9 against the spread (ATS) skid. The Under (164.5) cashed Friday, and the total has gone low at a 8-3 run across the past 11 outings.
The Mercury have dropped back-to-back games while going 0-3-1 ATS in the past 4 outings, while the Under is 3-1-1 in the previous 5 contests.
Phoenix suffered a 103-99 loss at home on June 13 in the most recent meeting, but the Mercury did hang on for a cover as a 6-point underdog as the Over (170.5) easily connected. Phoenix is 3-0 ATS in the 3 meetings with Las Vegas this season.
Aces at Mercury odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:41 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Aces -205 (bet $205 to win $100) | Mercury +164 (bet $100 to win $164)
- Against the spread: Aces -4.5 (-106) | Mercury +4.5 (-114)
- Over/Under (O/U): 169 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Aces at Mercury picks and predictions
Prediction
Mercury 85, Aces 81
Moneyline
Playing PHOENIX (+164) as moderate underdogs is a strong play. The Mercury have played the Aces (-205) tough all season. The way Las Vegas has been playing lately, there is no way you can trust it laying more than 2 times your potential return.
Against the spread
If you’re a little less adventurous, play PHOENIX +4.5 (-114) catching the points. It gives you a little leg room in the event of a Las Vegas -4.5 (-106) win by 4 or fewer points.
After all, the Aces are still just 1-9 ATS in the past 10 games, despite Friday’s cover against Atlanta. And Las Vegas is 0-3 ATS in 3 tries against Phoenix this season.
Over/Under
UNDER 169 (-110) is the lean, but go with a half-unit play here.
The Under is 3-1 in the past 4 games for the Aces, while going 8-3 across the previous 11 outings.
For the Mercury, the Under has hit at a 3-1-1 clip in the past 5 outings, while cashing at a 5-2 pace in the past 7 contests at Footprint Center.
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