The Kansas State Wildcats (4-3, 4-2 in Big XII) play the conference’s first-placed Iowa State Cyclones (5-2, 5-1), at Jack Trice Stadium. The kickoff is scheduled for 4 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Kansas State-Iowa State college football betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
The Cyclones are No. 16 in the Amway Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.
Kansas State at Iowa State: Betting odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 9:40 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Kansas State +375 (bet $100 to win $375) | Iowa State -500 (bet $500 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Kansas State +12 (-110) | Iowa State -12 (-110)
- Over/Under: 47.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Kansas State at Iowa State: Three things to know
- Kansas State has lost back-to-back games, including a 20-18 home loss to Oklahoma State its last time out (Nov. 7), following a four-game win streak. The Wildcats covered the spread against the Cowboys to push their ATS record to 5-2 on the year.
- Iowa State struggled out the gate in its last game, going down 14-0 in the first quarter, but ended up beating Baylor 38-31. The Cyclones failed to cover as 14-point home favorites.
- Kansas State’s defense smothered Iowa State in last year’s meeting. The Cyclones had just 236 total yards and 10 first downs in their 27-17 loss at Kansas State.
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Kansas State at Iowa State: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks
Prediction
Iowa State 26, Kansas State 17
Money line (ML)
It’s hard to see Kansas State (+375) pulling off an upset given the uncertainty of who will be available for this game.
There isn’t a high enough return on investment on Iowa State (-500) to warrant a play. PASS.
Against the spread (ATS)
This is what sports betting in 2020 is all about. I have no idea who on Kansas State is playing, the coach isn’t giving us many clues and there’s even a chance the game is canceled.
If we are going to get money down on either side, I’ll lean to Kansas State. The Wildcats are 11-1 in their last 12 games against the Cyclones and 7-1 ATS in their last eight Big XII games. Kansas State covered in the one game it lost to the Cyclones (2018), which was a ranked Iowa State team.
The peak of Kansas State’s season was going into then-No. 3 ranked Oklahoma and upsetting the Sooners on Sept. 26. If the Wildcats can duplicate any of that form, or if Iowa State comes out sluggish, 12 points is too big of a number to cover. The Cyclones are 1-5 ATS in their last six games as a home favorite.
Again it’s only a lean but I’d have to take KANSAS STATE +11 (-110) if I was forced to take a side.
Over/Under (O/U)
The total has moved from the 50.5 opening number down to its current price. According to Pregame.com, 68% of the money wagered and 78% of the total bets are on the Over yet the total is moving down. Hmm.
Maybe the market has Kansas State information I don’t or it’s the temperature dipping below 40 degrees in the evening or it’s Kansas State starting a true freshman at quarterback QB Will Howard. Either way, something is moving the number.
We could be arriving at the party a little late but I’ll still TAKE UNDER 47.5 (-110) for 1 unit.
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