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The Kansas City Chiefs (3-1) look for their 4th straight win when they play the Minnesota Vikings (1-3) Sunday. Kickoff from U.S. Bank Stadium is set for 4:25 p.m. ET (CBS). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Chiefs vs. Vikings odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.
The Vikings finally got in the win column in Week 4 with a 21-13 victory over the Carolina Panthers where Minnesota ran just 44 offensive plays. QB Kirk Cousins was limited to just 139 passing yards but threw a pair of touchdowns to WR Justin Jefferson, and RBs Alexander Mattison and Cam Akers combined to rush 22 times for 135 yards. After falling behind by 10 points early, the Vikings defense threw a shutout in the 2nd half to give the Vikings their first win ATS (1-2-1).
The Chiefs escaped New York with a 23-20 win over the Jets after blowing a 17-0 first quarter lead. The Chiefs had more rushing yards (204) than passing yards (197) and fell to a record of 2-2 ATS. Patrick Mahomes had his least productive game of the season, completing 18 of 30 passes for 203 yards with 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions.
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Chiefs at Vikings odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 11:03 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Chiefs -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | Vikings +155 (bet $100 to win $155)
- Against the spread (ATS): Chiefs -3.5 (-110) | Vikings +3.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 52.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Chiefs at Vikings key injuries
Chiefs
- LB Nick Bolton (ankle) questionable
Vikings
- LB Brian Asamoah (toe) questionable
- LB Marcus Davenport (ankle) questionable
Chiefs at Vikings picks and predictions
Prediction
Chiefs 34, Vikings 20
Moneyline
PASS.
The Chiefs should win this game comfortably, but getting slightly more than 50 percent return on investment isn’t worth it.
Against the spread
TAKE THE CHIEFS -3.5 (-110)
Kansas City hasn’t been blowing out teams, which is why this spread is lower than it typically should be. The Vikings defense has played well in spurts, but they’ve been blitz-happy — which doesn’t work against someone like Mahomes. Minnesota specializes in 1-score games, but the Chiefs will be hard to keep down. The Vikings need to stop their penchant for turnovers — they have committed 11 turnovers in their first 4 games (7 lost fumbles and 4 interceptions). Against the Chiefs, handing the ball over could be disastrous.
Over/Under
TAKE OVER 52.5 POINTS (-110)
The Chiefs’ offense has only put 1 complete game together this season and will look to take charge early. The Vikings make up for having a sub-par defense — that doesn’t have quality depth — by bringing blitz pressure on more than 50 percent of snaps. With the big-play downfield threats both offenses have, there should be enough big-play opportunities. Kansas City should be able to hit 30 points. The Vikings will likely become 1-dimensional offensively, which could lead to points at garbage time to push past this high number.
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