The surging Miami Dolphins (8-4) will host the Kansas City Chiefs (11-1) on Sunday afternoon for a huge Week 14 showdown at Hard Rock Stadium. The two will square off at 1 p.m. ET as both try to improve their standing in the AFC playoff picture.
Below, we preview the Chiefs-Dolphins betting odds and lines and make our NFL picks and predictions.
Chiefs at Dolphins: Betting odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 3:15 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Chiefs -350 (bet $350 to win $100) | Dolphins +270 (bet $100 to win $270)
- Against the spread/ATS: Chiefs -7 (-110) | Dolphins +7 (-110)
- Over/Under: 50.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Chiefs at Dolphins: Game notes
- The Chiefs rank second in the NFL in points scored this season. The Dolphins have the second-ranked scoring defense, however, allowing only 17.7 points per game.
- The Chiefs have won seven games in a row but have gone just 3-4 ATS in that span. They’ve failed to cover in each of their last four games.
- In their last eight games, the Dolphins are 7-1 ATS, also going 7-1 SU in that same stretch.
- The total has gone Under in five of the Dolphins’ last seven games. It has also gone Under in three of the Chiefs’ last five games.
- The Chiefs are 8-0 SU in their last eight road games.
Chiefs at Dolphins: Key injuries
Chiefs
- LB Damien Wilson (knee) questionable
Dolphins
- LB Kyle Van Noy (hip) questionable
- CB Xavien Howard (shoulder) questionable
- QB Tua Tagovailoa (thumb) questionable
Chiefs at Dolphins: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks
Prediction
Chiefs 27, Dolphins 23
Money line (?)
The Chiefs are clearly the better team in this one and might be the best overall team in the NFL. But the Dolphins are as hot as anyone and their defense is capable of slowing down even the top offenses.
I like the Chiefs to win this one outright, but in a closer game than some may think. Brian Flores will come up with an aggressive game plan to challenge QB Patrick Mahomes, even if he can’t completely hold him in check.
Take the CHIEFS (-350) to win Sunday.
Against the spread (?)
As good as the Chiefs are, 7 points feels like a lot. The Dolphins don’t have the offense to keep up with Mahomes and the Chiefs like the Raiders did, but they do have a defense that can counter what Kansas City tries to do.
Bet the DOLPHINS +7 (-110) to cover the seven-point spread and keep this one relatively close at home.
Over/Under (?)
This one all comes down to how the Dolphins defense plays. If they can slow down the Chiefs, this game will fail to top 51 points. That seems like an obvious statement, but it’s the truth.
The Dolphins shouldn’t be expected to score more than 30 points, so it’ll be the Chiefs doing the heavy lifting. I like the UNDER (50.5) here, but it’s going to be very close.
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Also see:
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Former NFL QB speculates Dolphins poised for big jump in 2021 (Dolphins Wire)
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