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The Kansas City Chiefs (9-2) and Cincinnati Bengals (7-4) clash in a Week 13 matchup Sunday at Paycor Stadium. Kickoff is set for 4:25 p.m. ET (CBS). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Chiefs vs. Bengals odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.
This is a rematch of last year’s AFC Championship Game which Cincinnati won in overtime 27-24 as a 7-point underdog. The Bengals also defeated the Chiefs earlier that season 34-31 as 3.5-point underdogs.
The Chiefs are currently on a 5-game win streak, though they’re just 3-7-1 against the spread (ATS) this season. They haven’t covered the spread since Week 7 against the San Francisco 49ers when they won 44-23 as 1-point favorites. Star QB Patrick Mahomes is having an MVP-caliber season, leading the league in passing yards (3,585), passing TDs (29) and passing 1st downs (190).
The Bengals are on a 3-game win streak, coming off a 20-16 win over the Tennessee Titans last week as 1-point favorites. Cincinnati is 8-3 ATS this year with 3 of its 4 losses being decided by 3 points or fewer. The team also hopes to bring back RB Joe Mixon (provided he can pass concussion protocols) and WR Ja’Marr Chase from injury (barring a setback) after missing Mixon in Week 12 and Chase in Weeks 8-12.
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Chiefs at Bengals odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 3:23 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Chiefs -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Bengals +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
- Against the spread (ATS): Chiefs -2.5 (-110) | Bengals +2.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 52.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Chiefs at Bengals key injuries
Chiefs
- WR Kadarius Toney (hamstring) out
- DB Deon Bush (elbow) questionable
Bengals
- WR Ja’Marr Chase (hip) questionable
- RB Joe Mixon (concussion) questionable
- LB Logan Wilson (illness) questionable
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Chiefs at Bengals picks and predictions
Prediction
Chiefs 30, Bengals 27
Moneyline
Part of the reason why the Chiefs couldn’t beat the Bengals in the AFC Championship Game last year was the lack of pressure — they were only able to sack QB Joe Burrow once. However, the Chiefs have a much better pass rush this year — they’re currently 5th in the NFL in sacks with 35.
The Chiefs also seem to have a better running game this year with rookie RB Isiah Pacheco earning 275 total yards on 54 touches in his last 3 games. Look for the Chiefs to establish the run in this matchup while Mahomes spreads the ball around.
It should be close, but I’m leaning toward Kansas City to win this revenge game.
BET CHIEFS (-135).
Against the spread
Both games between the Chiefs and Bengals last year were decided by 3 points. The odds of this matchup being that close are high, so you’re probably better off betting the moneyline instead of the spread — you could be disappointed if this one is decided by 1 or 2 points.
AVOID the spread and take the Chiefs on the moneyline.
Over/Under
This Over/Under is tough because it’s entirely dependent on how much each team’s defense shows up. The big-scoring potential is there but both defenses have great games under their belts this season.
With that in mind, these are 2 top-5 NFL offenses. It’d be tough for this one not to total out at 53 or above.
LEAN OVER 52.5 (-110).
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