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The Kansas Jayhawks (1-4, 0-2 Big 12) and Arizona State Sun Devils (3-1, 0-1) meet Saturday. Kickoff from Mountain America Stadium is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college football odds around the Kansas vs. Arizona State odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
Kansas is coming off a 38-27 loss as a 1-point favorite vs. the visiting TCU Horned Frogs Sept. 28 with the Over (59) hitting. QB Jalon Daniels was just 15-of-34 passing for 179 yards with a TD and an INT.
Arizona State lost 30-22 as a 4.5-point underdog at the Texas Tech Red Raiders Sept. 21 as the Under (58) cashed. The Sun Devils, who entered Sept. 21 fourth in FBS in time of possession, were overwhelmed by Texas Tech’s run game, controlling the ball for just 25:49 and allowing 133 yards on the ground.
Rankings: US LBM Coaches Poll, conducted by the American Football Coaches Association and USA TODAY Sports
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Kansas at Arizona State odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college football odds. Lines last updated at 8:25 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Kansas +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Arizona State -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Kansas +2.5 (-110) | Arizona State -2.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 50.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Kansas at Arizona State picks and predictions
Prediction
Kansas 30, Arizona State 27
Moneyline
KANSAS (+115) is 1-4 straight up and 0-5 ATS, and the market is overreacting to its bad start to the season. Daniels has a career 133.7 passer rating, and it’s only a matter of time before the redshirt junior QB returns to form.
Arizona State has already exceeded expectations, winning 3 games — it’s coming off back-to-back 3-9 seasons — and going 3-1 ATS.
The Sun Devils had the 2nd-longest preseason odds to win the Big 12 at +10000, and the Jayhawks had the 3rd-shortest at +800. I understand Arizona is having a better season up to this point, but I can’t bring myself to bet it as a favorite in this spot.
BET KANSAS (+115).
Against the spread
Kansas +2.5 (-110) should cover, but the plus odds on the ML are the way to go with a team this unpredictable.
PASS. Bet the ML and/or total instead.
Over/Under
The Over has hit in back-to-back Kansas games. There’s also a possibility that the offense puts up 30 or more points for just the second time this year, with Daniels bouncing back after a disappointing start to the season.
Arizona State has allowed 28 or more points in back-to-back games, and its run game looks like it may have been overrated after rushing for just 94 yards at Texas Tech Sept. 21.
BET OVER 50.5 (-110).
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