We get a 12-round, 115-pound unification bout when Juan Francisco Estrada and Roman Gonzalez meet at American Airlines Center in Dallas Saturday. The title bout card is set to begin around 8 p.m. ET on DAZN. Below, we break down the Estrada-Gonzalez odds, with boxing picks and predictions.
Estrada vs. Gonzalez: Fight odds
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:00 a.m. ET.
J.F. Estrada: -165 (bet $165 to win $100) | Roman Gonzalez: +135 (bet $100 to win $135)
Estrada has an implied win probability of 62.26% with the -165 money line odds. Those odds can be expressed as a fraction of 20/33 or decimal of 1.606.
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Estrada vs. Gonzalez: Tale of the tape
Juan Francisco Estrada
Estrada (41-3, 28 KOs) finally gets his chance at a rematch nine years after a scintillating unanimous decision setback against Gonzalez (50-2, 41 KOs) back in 2012.
Estrada enters on a five-bout win streak, including a TKO win in the 11th round against Carlos Cuadras at Gimnasio TV Azteca in Mexico City last time out Oct. 23, 2020. That was fought on the same card as Gonzalez, as the promoters looked to really get everyone excited for a potential bout between these two. This will be Estrada’s first fight in the United States since he knocked off Srisaket Sor Rungvisai in Inglewood, Calif. April 26, 2019, in a unanimous-decision victory to win the WBC and The Ring super flyweight titles.
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Roman Gonzalez
Gonzalez, a.k.a. “Chocolatito”, has won four world titles in four weight classes and is looking to keep his WBA super flyweight title in this one. On that same Oct. 23, 2020 card with Estrada, Gonzalez pushed past Israel Gonzalez in a unanimous decision to keep the WBA super flyweight strap. That win came on the heels of his ninth-round TKO over Kal Yafai in Fresno, Calif., Feb. 29, 2020, when he won that WBA super flyweight title. If we’re looking at common foes, Gonzalez lost back-to-back fights against Rungvisai, his only two professional losses, back in 2017.
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Estrada vs. Gonzalez: Odds, predictions and picks
ESTRADA (-165) is a good play on the 3-way line if you just want to bet the fight straight up and not get involved with method of victory, individual round betting, etc. He has the confidence of his previous win over Gonzalez, albeit nine years ago. In addition, the common opponent of Rungvisai is telling. Estrada handled his business, while Gonzalez was knocked around twice.
If you do get a little more specific, playing ESTRADA ON POINTS (+135) is the way to go for method of victory, especially at plus-money.
If you want some action on this bout, place your wagers at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and analysis, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.
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Boxing Junkie:
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Juan Francisco Estrada vs. Roman Gonzalez: What are the odds?
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