We get a 12-round WBO light heavyweight title bout Saturday when Joe Smith Jr. and Maksim Vlasov meet at Osage Casino in Tulsa, Okla. The card is set to begin around 10 p.m. ET, with the Smith-Vlasov fight set for later in the show. Below, we break down the Smith vs. Vlasov odds, with boxing picks and predictions. The fight card is televised on ESPN.
Smith vs. Vlasov: Fight odds
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:00 a.m. ET.
Joe Smith Jr. -350 (bet $350 to win $100) | Maksim Vlasov +275 (bet $100 to win $275) | Draw +2000
Smith has an implied win probability of 77.78% with the -350 money line odds. Those odds can be expressed as a fraction of 2/7 or a decimal of 1.296.
Smith vs. Vlasov: Tale of the tape
Joe Smith Jr.
Smith (26-3, 21 KOs) has picked up two straight victories over Jesse Hart and Eleider Alvarez since a loss in the WBA light heavyweight title bout against Dmitry Bivol March 9, 2019. He positioned himself for the vacant title and is a heavy favorite to get it done this time around. Three of his past five fights have ended up being decided by the judgesnwith a pair of losses by unanimous decision.
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Maksim Vlasov
Vlasov (45-3, 26 KOs) has a long history, and the 34-year-old has another crack at the division title. He has a pair of unanimous-decision victories over Emmanuel Martey and Isaac Chilemba, and a fourth-round TKO over Omar Garcia, since his unanimous-decision setback to Krzysztof Glowacki Nov. 10, 2018. Three of his past four fights have gone the distance.
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Smith vs. Vlasov: Odds, predictions and picks
Smith Jr. (-350) will cost you three-and-a-half times your potential return on the 3-way line, which is quite a bit risky. Instead, look to the method of victory for a much better value.
I like this bout to go the distance, and taking SMITH JR. ON POINTS (+225) is the way to go, as you can more than double up your potential return.
If you want some action on this bout, place your wagers at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and analysis, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.
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Also see:
- Joe Smith Jr. vs. Maxim Vlasov: date, time, how to watch, background (Boxing Junkie)
- Joe Smith Jr. tired of knocking, ready to break down door (Boxing Junkie)
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