In an 8-round cruiserweight bout, Jake Paul and Anderson Silva meet Saturday at Diamond Desert Arena in Glendale, Ariz. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Paul vs. Silva odds, and make our expert boxing picks and predictions.
The YouTube star Paul (5-0) steps into the ring looking for a 6th win to start his boxing career. The 25-year-old, a.k.a. “The Problem Child”, has recorded 4 KO victories to date, with only a split-decision win against Tyron Woodley at the Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse in Cleveland as his only non-finish.
Paul is coming off a KO victory over Woodley in a rematch in Tampa last December, now he finally gets the chance to face boyhood favorite Spider Silva.
This will be the 4th fight for Paul against a former MMA fighter, and Silva might be the most formidable. Silva dropped Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. via split decision in June 2021, and he is coming off a KO victory over Tito Ortiz at the Seminole Hard Rock Hotel and Casino in Hollywood, Fla. last time out.
Paul vs. Silva odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:20 a.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line): Paul -270 (bet $270 to win $100) | Silva +185 (bet $100 to win $185)
- Over/Under: 6.5 rounds (Over -140 | Under +102)
- Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -103 | No -145)
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Paul vs. Silva picks and predictions
Records: Paul (5-0, 4 KOs) | Silva (3-1, 2 KOs)
Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)
It isn’t wishful thinking, as there are a lot of people out there who cannot stand these fights, and want the YouTube star Paul (-270) to get his come-uppance.
Me, I am not a hater. OK, I was. Originally, this looked like it was going to be a joke. I caught the Paul-Nate Robinson fight on the undercard of the farcical Tyson-Roy Jones Jr. ’bout’. But since, Paul has taken care of the likes of Ben Askren and Woodley (x2). Those are legit fighters, who have trained in combat sports all of their lives.
So, I was wrong about Paul initially. As a famous cinematic fighter once said, “If I can change, and you can change. We all can change.”
Paul has legit punching power, and Silva will feel it. But Spider is tremendous defensively, and will not errantly walk into one of those devastating punches.
Paul (-270) gets it done, but he isn’t a value play laying more than 2 1/2 times your potential return.
PASS on a 2- or 3-way line bet, and take PAUL BY DECISION (+185) in method of victory for a much better value.
Over/Under (O/U)
YES (-103): FIGHT TO GO THE DISTANCE is a pretty decent value here, as Silva isn’t going to get knocked out, and while I am not saying this is not a serious fight. Let’s just say Paul’s ride isn’t over yet, and there is still more money left to be made in the future. If you think this is all a joke, and want to see Paul get dropped, today is not your day.
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