The Jacksonville Jaguars (3-6) and Kansas City Chiefs (6-2) face off Sunday in a Week 10 matchup. Kickoff at Arrowhead Stadium will be at 1 p.m. ET (CBS). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Jaguars vs. Chiefs odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.
The Jaguars are coming off a 27-20 come-from-behind victory against the Las Vegas Raiders in Week 9 after being down 17-0 in the 2nd quarter. Jaguars RB Travis Etienne picked up 109 yards rushing and 2 TDs on 28 carries in the win.
The Chiefs won a 20-17 overtime thriller against the Tennessee Titans last Sunday night. QB Patrick Mahomes threw a personal record 68 passes in the game, throwing for 1 TD and 1 INT. Mahomes also picked up 63 yards and 1 TD on 6 carries.
The Chiefs are 2-0 against Jacksonville with Mahomes at QB, winning by a combined 70-40 score. However, the Jaguars had a different coach and QB in those games. The Chiefs have never faced Jaguars QB Trevor Lawrence, though Kansas City is 1-0 against Doug Pederson when he was coach for the Philadelphia Eagles in 2017. Pederson is a former protégé of Chiefs coach Andy Reid — he came up under Reid as an assistant in Philly and later as an offensive coordinator in Kansas City.
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Jaguars at Chiefs odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:12 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Jaguars +325 (bet $100 to win $325) | Chiefs -400 (bet $400 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Jaguars +9 (-111) | Chiefs -9 (-109)
- Over/Under (O/U): 51.5 (O: -111 | U: -109)
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Jaguars at Chiefs key injuries
Jaguars
- S Rayshawn Jenkins (concussion) questionable
Chiefs
- WR Mecole Hardman (abdomen) out
- RB Jerick McKinnon (shoulder/knee/hamstring) questionable
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Jaguars at Chiefs picks and predictions
Prediction
Chiefs 31, Jaguars 17
Moneyline
The Chiefs boast the league’s best offense and the Jaguars have the 11th-worst pass defense. A win for Kansas City, a top-3 team at the very least, seems like a no-brainer. Hence why the Chiefs are huge favorites at -400, which is definitely not a good enough payout to worth consideration.
AVOID the moneyline.
Against the spread
Neither squad has been great against the spread this season — the Chiefs are 3-5 ATS and the Jags are 3-6. The Chiefs don’t cover the spread often when they’re heavily favored, but an exception should be made against Jags who have lost ATS in 5 of their last 6 games.
Lean CHIEFS -9 (-109).
Over/Under
The Chiefs offense hasn’t fared well against the AFC South this season, and the Jaguars offense is putting up around 22 points per game. Lawrence also has 2 INTs and 2 fumbles in his last 2 games. Don’t expect a lot of scoring in this game compared to other Chiefs games.
Bet UNDER 51.5 (-109).
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