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The Jacksonville Jaguars (4-12) and the Indianapolis Colts (7-9) meet Sunday in a Week 18 regular-season finale at Lucas Oil Stadium. Kickoff is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NFL odds around the Jaguars vs. Colts odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.
The Jaguars wrap up another disappointing season with a double-digit loss total, and QB Mac Jones will be under center again for the injured QB Trevor Lawrence. However, 1 of Jacksonville’s 4 wins came against Indianapolis in Week 5, a 37-34 victory at EverBank Stadium as the Over (44) easily cashed.
Jacksonville beat the Tennessee Titans 20-13 as a 1-point underdog Sunday in Week 17 while the Under (38) cashed. It has won 2 of the past 4 games and gone a respectable 6-3-1 against the spread (ATS) in the past 10. The Under is 4-1 in the previous 5 outings.
The Colts were unceremoniously excused from the playoff picture with a 45-33 loss as 7.5-point favorites at the New York Giants while the Over (40.5) cashed Dec. 29. The Colts have won 3 of the past 6 games outright, but are just 1-4 ATS in the past 5. The Over has cashed in 4 in a row and 6 of the past 7 contests.
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Jaguars at Colts odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NFL odds. Lines last updated Saturday at 7:17 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Jaguars +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Colts -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
- Against the spread: Jaguars +3.5 (-115) | Colts -3.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 45 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Jaguars at Colts key injuries
Jaguars
- DE Josh Hines-Allen (personal) out
- QB Trevor Lawrence (shoulder) out
- OT Walker Little (ankle) out
- LB Ventrell Miller (ankle) questionable
Colts
- QB Anthony Richardson (back) out
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Jaguars at Colts picks and predictions
Prediction
Colts 26, Jaguars 18
Moneyline
The COLTS (-175) are a good play if you’d prefer to bet them straight up and not fiddle around with the points.
There is a little bit of risk, as QB Joe Flacco steps back in under center with Richardson sidelined due to injury. Flacco did well at first after taking over for Richardson earlier in the season, but he later looked like a 39-year-old QB struggling in a quick NFL. We’ll see if the Jaguars (+145) can give him fits, or if he finishes with a bang.
Against the spread
The COLTS -3.5 (-105) are the play, as the Jaguars +3.5 (-115) do themselves no favors by winning yet again.
The Jaguars aren’t going to go all out to win, but they’re not going to outwardly play to lose, either. They’re professionals. Still, the Colts are home, and they have powerful pieces like RB Jonathan Taylor and several downfield options in the receiving game — that will be the difference.
Over/Under
UNDER 45 (-110) is worth a look, but only go with a half-unit wager at best.
The Under is a risky play with Indianapolis, as the Over has cashed in 4 in a row and 6 of the past 7 outings. However, we get Flacco back, so we could see a decrease from the 35.5 points per game produced in the past 2 outings. The Colts defense is a concern, allowing 30 or more points in 3 in a row, but again, Indianapolis is playing Jones and the Jaguars here.
The Under is 4-1 in the past 5 games for Jacksonville, with the offense going for 20 or fewer points in 4 of those outings and allowing 19 or fewer in 3 of the previous 4 contests.
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