The Cincinnati Bengals (0-2-1) are the betting favorites for the first time in the career of rookie QB Joe Burrow. They’ll host the Jacksonville Jaguars (1-2) Sunday at Paul Brown Stadium for a 1 p.m. ET kickoff. Below, we preview the Jaguars-Bengals Week 4 betting odds and lines and make our NFL picks and best bets.
Jaguars at Bengals betting odds and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 8:52 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Jaguars +140 (bet $100, win $140) | Bengals -167 (Bet $167, win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Jaguars +3 (-110) | Bengals -3 (-110)
- Over/Under: 49.5 (O: -110, U: -110)
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Jaguars at Bengals game notes
- The Bengals covered the spread in a 23-23 tie on the road against the Philadelphia Eagles in Week 3. The Jaguars suffered a 31-13 loss at home against the Miami Dolphins while favored.
- Both teams are 2-1 ATS for the season. The Jags are 2-1 against the Over/Under and topping point projections by 5.3 points per game; the Bengals are 1-2 O/U but play 2.5 points above the line on average.
- Jaguars QB Gardner Minshew has completed 73.8% of his passes for 787 yards and 6 touchdowns against 3 interceptions. Burrow is completing 64.5% of his passes for 821 yards and 5 TDs against just one INT.
- Burrow has been sacked a league-high 14 times for a total loss of 107 yards.
- The Jaguars have a turnover differential of minus-2 to the Bengals’ neutral differential with 3 takeaways and 3 giveaways.
- Jacksonville is tied for 27th in the NFL with 7.3 penalties taken per game. Cincinnati is averaging 6.7 infractions per game.
Jaguars at Bengals key injuries
Jaguars
- WR DJ Chark Jr. (chest/back) probable
Bengals
- CB Mackensie Alexander (ribs/hamstring) probable
- DT Geno Atkins (shoulder) probable
- LB Logan Wilson (concussion) questionable
Jaguars at Bengals: Odds, betting lines, picks and prediction
Prediction
Jaguars 24, Bengals 23
Money line (?)
Take the value of the JAGUARS (+140) as slight road underdogs in search of their second win of the season. The Bengals (-167) drew a tie against a disappointing Eagles team last week but haven’t yet earned the right to be favored after finishing last in the NFL a year ago.
The Jaguars’ poor showing as favorites on Thursday Night Football last week seems to be impacting this line. They started the season with a 7-point win over the Indianapolis Colts and went down to the wire in a 33-30 loss against the Tennessee Titans in Week 2.
Against the spread (?)
While we’re taking the value of the Jaguars’ money line, the safer play is the spread with the JAGUARS +3 (-110) getting a field goal of insurance.
All three Bengals games this season have been played within a 5-point margin. Both teams are averaging fewer than 23.5 PPG, so the low score should keep this one close.
Over/Under (?)
The Bengals are one of just eight teams to have played to more Unders than Overs this season. The offenses have the jump on defenses early in this 2020 season but these two rebuilt teams are struggling to get points.
Take the UNDER 49.5 (-110).
Want action on this NFL game? Sign up and bet at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.
Also see:
- Watch: Minshew discusses his NFL journey (Jaguars Wire)
- Burrow graded among NFL’s top 5 offensive rookies so far (Bengals Wire)
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