Iowa State vs. Dayton odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Iowa State vs. Dayton odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Iowa State Cyclones (3-1) and Dayton Flyers (5-1) are lined up for a Maui Invitational losers’-bracket battle Tuesday in Lahaina, Hawaii. The opening tip-off at the Lahaina Civic Center is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET (ESPNU). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college basketball odds around the Iowa State vs. Dayton odds, and make our expert college basketball picks and predictions.

Iowa State, which is No. 6 in the USA TODAY Sports Men’s Basketball Coaches Poll, lost to No. 3 Auburn 83-81 (ISU cover as a +3.5) in a Monday first-round tournament game. The Cyclones — who had previously routed 3 teams outside the BartTorvik top 200 — led for much of the top-10 tussle but were undone by an 11-2 Tigers run beginning at the 6:42 mark of the second half. Senior G Keshon Gilbert went 8-for-10 from the field and scored a game-high 23 points.

Dayton gave a game effort against No. 13 North Carolina in the last contest on the Monday Maui slate. The Flyers maintained a lead in the teens for much of the middle of the game, but favored-by-9.5 UNC pulled off a come-from-behind 92-90 victory. UD made a season-high 14 triples in the uptempo contest; the Flyers have shot 39% from distance over their last 3 games.

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Iowa State vs. Dayton odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college basketball odds  Lines last updated at 11:25 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Iowa State -400 (bet $400 to win $100) | Dayton +310 (bet $100 to win $310)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Iowa State -8.5 (-115) | Dayton +8.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 142.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Iowa State vs. Dayton picks and predictions

Prediction

Iowa State 74, Dayton 65

Moneyline

No interest. PASS.

Against the spread

Iowa State is 6-3 ATS over its last 9 games when lined as a single-digit favorite.

Peg the Cyclones as having enough edge in the rim-and-3 and free-throw frequency departments to edge Dayton by nearly 10 points in this one. But the betting edge is a slim one. Consider a partial-unit play on IOWA STATE -8.5 (-115).

Over/Under

For Iowa State, the Over 144.5 cashed in Monday’s game against uptempo Auburn. But dating back to last season, the Cyclones had played 5 straight games landing as Unders.

Dayton’s Monday game did a fly-by on a total of 158.5, but the Flyers — 280th in BartTorvik’s adjusted pace rating through 6 games — are a perennial bottom-third team when it comes to tempo.

Shot analytics peg ISU’s early offense as being a bit too overcooked. And UD’s offense may be getting a tad too much love after the Monday race with the Tar Heels.

BACK THE UNDER 142.5 (-110).

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