Indiana Pacers vs. Miami Heat odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Monday’s Indiana Pacers vs. Miami Heat betting odds and lines, with NBA betting picks, tips and best bets.

The Indiana Pacers (43-27) face the Miami Heat (43-27) Monday at 8 p.m. ET in the NBA’s Orlando bubble. We analyze the Pacers-Heat NBA betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.

Pacers vs. Heat: Key injuries

Pacers

  • SF T.J. Warren (foot) questionable
  • PF Domantas Sabonis (foot) out
  • SG Jeremy Lamb (knee) out

Heat

  • PG Goran Dragic (ankle) questionable
  • SF Jimmy Butler (foot) questionable
  • PG Kendrick Nunn (personal) out
  • SF KZ Okpala (personal) out

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Pacers vs. Heat: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips

NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 2:20 p.m. ET.

Prediction

Heat 117, Pacers 110

Moneyline (ML)

The Pacers (+145) have looked great in the bubble, winning four of five games, including their last game against the Los Angeles Lakers, 116-111. Indiana has tied Miami for the 4-seed in the East and would be matched up against them if the first round started today.

The Heat (-175) lost their last game to a peaking Phoenix Suns team, 119-112. Miami was without its two leading scorers in Butler and Dragic. Injuries and tough competition has led to the Heat going 2-3 in the bubble.

Indiana has had Miami’s number for several games but not this Heat team led by Butler. The Heat are 2-0 this season against the Pacers and match up nicely with them. Both are well-coached and deep teams.

We are going to PASS ON THE MONEYLINE because the Heat (-175) are too expensive and the Pacers (+145) don’t offer a big enough payout.

Line/Against the Spread (ATS)

Something tells me that the Heat are going to come out hot and they have the depth to sustain a lead. Miami has looked great early in games—outscoring opponents in the first quarter in four of five games.

Getting Butler and Dragic back would be huge for the Heat -3.5 (-110), especially against a banged-up Indiana (+3.5, -110) team. The Pacers will be without defensive anchor Sabonis and Warren is listed as questionable.

TAKE THE HEAT -3.5 (-110). New to sports betting? A $110 bet on the Heat -3.5 (-110) earns a $100 profit if Miami beats Indiana by four or more points.

Over/Under (O/U)

I “LEAN” OVER 221.5 (-110) slightly because the Over is 7-2 in the last nine meetings and both teams cashed Over bets in their last games. I don’t “like” the Over because each team is above-average in defensive efficiency and bottom-10 in pace of play. Also, their combined Over/Under record against winning teams is 34-20.

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