The Indiana Pacers (23-23) face the Denver Nuggets (32-13) at Ball Arena Friday. Tip-off is at 9 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Pacers vs. Nuggets odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.
We have 2 teams moving in opposite directions. The Nuggets are on an 8-game winning streak while the Pacers have lost 5 in a row. C Nikola Jokic is the MVP favorite while Indiana’s star point guard Tyrese Haliburton has been injured during the Pacer’s struggles.
The Pacers hope to move above .500 while the Nuggets intend on keeping their foot on the gas with All-Star weekend inching closer. Denver won 122-119 at Indiana on Nov. 9.
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Pacers at Nuggets odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:33 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Pacers +475 (bet $100 to win $475) | Nuggets -650 (bet $650 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Pacers +11.5 (-115) | Nuggets -11.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 239.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Pacers at Nuggets key injuries
Pacers
- G Tyrese Haliburton (knee) out
Nuggets
- G Collin Gillespie (leg) out
- F Jeff Green (finger) questionable
- G Jamal Murray (foot) probable
- F Peyton Watson (ab) out
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Pacers at Nuggets picks and predictions
Prediction
Nuggets 118, Pacers 109
Moneyline
I don’t know anyone who genuinely thinks Indiana can pull this off. Certainly Denver is ripe for a loss, but I will not be suggesting you bet the Pacers. With the Nuggets a very chalky bet I will AVOID.
An alternative would be to bet the Nuggets 1st-quarter spread. The Pacers are 30th in 1st-quarter points and 29th in opponent points. The Nuggets are the opposite, ranking 2nd in 1st-quarter defense and are the best in 1st-quarter scoring.
Against the spread
The Pacers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 when playing on a single day of rest.
The Nuggets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games against an opponent with a road percentage of less than .400.
LEAN PACERS +11.5 (-115).
Over/Under
The Nuggets are begging us to bet the Under.
The Under has hit in 5 of the Nugget’s last 6 games. And the Under is 6-1 in Nuggets previous 7 when their opponent scores over 100 points in their last game.
BET UNDER 240.5 (-110).
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