The Indiana Pacers (13-13) clash with the Atlanta Hawks (11-14) Saturday at the State Farm Arena in Atlanta. The tip-off is set for 7:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Pacers-Hawks NBA odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
Indiana has struggled through the first half of February but snapped a four-game losing streak its last time out by beating the Detroit Pistons 111-95 Thursday. The Pacers are just 2-4 overall and ATS in February.
Atlanta has fared worse in February, losing five out of six games this month, including the last two in a row. The Hawks have the third-lowest net rating because of their defensive struggles including bottom-10 rankings in opponent’s effective field-goal shooting, FTA rate, and turnover percentage in the past six games.
The Hawks broke a seven-game losing streak to the Pacers in the last meeting back in Jan. 2020, but these teams have split ATS wins over their last 10 meetings.
Pacers at Hawks: Odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:43 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Pacers -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Hawks -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Pacers -1.5 (-105) | Hawks +1.5 (-115)
- Over/Under: 224.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Pacers at Hawks: Key injuries
Pacers
- SG Caris LeVert (medical condition) out
- SF T.J. Warren (foot) out
Hawks
- SG Bogdan Bogdanovic (knee) out
- SF De’Andre Hunter (knee) out
- PG Rajon Rondo (back) out
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Pacers at Hawks: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Prediction
Pacers 116, Hawks 107
Money line (ML)
Indiana likes to attack the basket and get into the paint, which is where Atlanta is vulnerable. According to CleaningTheGlass.com, Indiana attempts the highest volume of shots at the rim and it is second in points in the paint per game, while Atlanta is 24th in opponent’s points in the paint per game.
Also, as stated above, the Hawks defense hasn’t been as good lately as they were earlier in the season. Atlanta is 26th in points per game allowed in February while Indiana is ninth in effective field-goal shooting and seventh in turnover percentage on the season.
Since the Hawks don’t force a lot of turnovers, aren’t a great defensive rebounding team and are 22nd in opponent’s FTA rate, it should be a good day for Indiana.
TAKE PACERS (-115) for 1 unit.
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Against the spread (ATS)
PASS. The Hawks have been awful in the second of a back-to-backs since the beginning of last season. Atlanta is 4-12 ATS with a minus-15.8 margin of victory and minus-9.8 ATS margin. Because Pacers-Hawks is a coin-flip game, this trend applies and further supports Indiana’s case to win this game outright.
Over/Under (O/U)
PASS. BetMGM‘s projected total aligns with my prediction, so for me, there’s no value in betting the total. For what it’s worth, the market has hammered the Under so much that the total has been brought from the 228-point opener to the current price, according to Pregame.com.
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Also see:
- NBA G League Ignite: How Jalen Green, others performed in season debut (Rookie Wire)
- Hoops Hype rumors: Pacers | Hawks
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