How many games will the Miami Dolphins win in the 2020 NFL season? We look at BetMGM‘s projected win total and the Over/Under odds, while looking back at the 2019 season and key offseason roster changes.
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Miami Dolphins’ 2019 season
The Dolphins started the season with two huge blowout losses and didn’t look like they would win a game. They steadied the ship a bit and finished the season 5-11. They performed well against the spread, going 9-7 ATS and also 9-7 against the Over/Under.
Miami Dolphins’ 2020 offseason changes
Miami went out and made big changes to the roster. They spent big money on CB Byron Jones and LBs Kyle Van Noy and Shaq Lawson in free agency and added RBs Jordan Howard and Matt Breida.
In the draft, they selected QB Tua Tagovailoa (Alabama), OL Austin Jackson (USC) and CB Noah Igbinoghene (Auburn) in the first round.
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Miami Dolphins’ 2020 schedule
Week 1: at New England Patriots
Week 2: vs. Buffalo Bills
Week 3: at Jacksonville Jaguars
Week 4: vs. Seattle Seahawks
Week 5: at San Francisco 49ers
Week 6: at Denver Broncos
Week 7: vs. Los Angeles Chargers
Week 8: vs. Los Angeles Rams
Week 9: at Arizona Cardinals
Week 10: vs. New York Jets
Week 11: BYE
Week 12: at New York Jets
Week 13: vs. Cincinnati Bengals
Week 14: vs. Kansas City Chiefs
Week 15: vs. New England Patriots
Week 16: at Las Vegas Raiders
Week 17: at Buffalo Bills
Miami Dolphins’ 2020 win total: Best bet
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Odds last updated Sunday, Aug. 9 at 12:30 p.m. ET.
Projected wins: 6 / OVER: -150 / UNDER: +125
Miami drastically improved the talent on the roster, and the defense will be better in head coach Brian Flores’ second year. They have two capable running backs on offense and already have pass catchers. QB Ryan Fitzpatrick will give them a steady veteran presence at quarterback until Tagovailoa is ready to take over.
They play a last-place schedule in a division that is a bit up in the air. The Patriots lost key players and have had many opt out of the season. The Bills are good, but the Jets still don’t look like they are ready to be more than middling.
I think the Dolphins will be sneaky competitive this year. Take the OVER 6 WINS -150.
New to sports betting? A $10 wager on the Over will profit $6.67 if the Dolphins win seven or more games.
Exact season wins: Bands
0-4 wins: +350
5-8 wins: -304
9-12 wins: +600
13-16 wins: +8000
The heavy favorite is for the Dolphins to win between 5-8 games at -304. They will be better than last year, so the question is whether they get to nine wins or not. They aren’t there yet. There is little value, but the only bet you should make is 5-8 WINS (-304).
Exact wins: Best bet
The shortest odds for exact wins is six wins at +260, followed by seven wins at +300. They should be able to win three games in their division and pick up wins against the Bengals and Jaguars. They will almost certainly pick up two wins elsewhere along the way. My pick for the Dolphins is SEVEN WINS +300.
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