How many games will the Kansas City Chiefs win in the 2020 NFL season? We look at BetMGM‘s projected win total and the Over/Under odds, while looking back at the 2019 season and key offseason roster changes.
Kansas City Chiefs’ 2019 season
What more can be said about the Chiefs’ 2019 season? They were able to overcome a short injury to QB Patrick Mahomes, finishing the regular season at 12-4. They overcame a 24-point deficit against the Houston Texans in the Divisional Round and went on to beat the San Francisco 49ers in the Super Bowl.
Kansas City Chiefs’ 2020 offseason changes
The biggest change for the Chiefs entering the 2020 season will be two key offensive players who opted out of the season. RB Damien Williams and RG Laurent Duvernay-Tardiff both decided not to play this year amid COVID-19 concerns.
The Chiefs were able to draft RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire with the No. 32 pick to now help replace Williams. Kansas City was also able to fill their guard need, adding veteran RG Kelechi Osemele to their offensive line.
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Kansas City Chiefs’ 2020 schedule
Week 1: vs. Houston Texans
Week 2: at Los Angeles Chargers
Week 3: at Baltimore Ravens
Week 4: vs. New England Patriots
Week 5: vs. Las Vegas Raiders
Week 6: at Buffalo Bills
Week 7: at Denver Broncos
Week 8: vs. New York Jets
Week 9: vs. Carolina Panthers
Week 10: BYE
Week 11: at Las Vegas Raiders
Week 12: at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Week 13: vs. Denver Broncos
Week 14: at Miami Dolphins
Week 15: at New Orleans Saints
Week 16: vs. Atlanta Falcons
Week 17: vs. Los Angeles Chargers
Kansas City Chiefs’ 2020 win total: Best bet
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Odds last updated Friday, Aug. 7 at 10:30 a.m. ET.
Projected wins: 11.5 / OVER: -130 / UNDER: +110
After winning 12 games last season, BetMGM is currently projecting the Chiefs to win 11.5 games this season. Kansas City does have a difficult schedule to start the season, playing the Texans, Ravens and Patriots in the first four weeks.
It’s worth noting the Chiefs have won at least 12 games in three of the last four seasons under head coach Andry Reid, as they have one of the best rosters in the NFL.
Considering who is at quarterback for the Chiefs and all of the talent they have on the offensive side of the ball, don’t be afraid to take the Chiefs OVER 11.5 (-130) wins this season.
Exact season wins: Bands
0-4 wins: +6500
5-8 wins: +1600
9-12 wins: -189
13-16 wins: +150
If you are unable to decide whether to bet the Over/Under for wins this year for the Chiefs, consider making a season wins band bet instead. Currently, on BetMGM, they are offering the Chiefs to win between 9-12 games (-189) this season.
Those are pretty good odds for Kansas City as Reid has won at least nine games in all seven of his seasons with the Chiefs. While the odds aren’t fantastic, this is a pretty safe bet as Kanas City is among the league’s most consistent teams from year to year. Take the 9-12 wins band for the Chiefs.
Exact wins: Best bet
Predicting the number of wins the Chiefs will have this season isn’t all that difficult. In Andy Reid’s last four seasons with the Chiefs, the team has won exactly 12 games in three of those seasons. And in 2015, the team won 11 games with Alex Smith as their quarterback.
With their schedule, 12 wins feels likely once again, with the current odds sitting at +240. It’s also worth mentioning the Chiefs to win exactly 13 games is at +290, which is a fine bet as well. Both of these bets are better than the Over/Under as they present more value. Take Kansas City to win exactly 12 games this season.
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